Part of: Belgium vs. Senegal - More Markets
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Senegal" if Senegal is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $232,982.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
98% winner joins Senegal cluster
Elite 98% win-rate wallet bought Senegal alongside a large one-sided cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- 40 wallets bought Senegal in the same direction for $178.7K total, with some linked funding.
- Entry was 41¢ but Senegal is now around 2¢, making this a high-risk follow after a sharp adverse move.
$2,800 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite bettor backs underdog
Despite the price moving sharply against the position, this is worth surfacing because an 89% lifetime winner joined a large one-sided Senegal cluster.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.33M lifetime.
- 40 wallets bought Senegal the same way, totaling about $179K in one-sided flow.
- Senegal has since fallen from 31¢ to 2¢, so this is a high-risk contrarian position.
$1,112 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 87%
Elite sharp in 40-wallet cluster
Elite 97% winner made a large Senegal buy alongside a 40-wallet one-sided cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $611k lifetime.
- 40 wallets bought Senegal the same way, totaling $179k in one-sided flow.
- Entry was 41¢, but Senegal has since fallen to 2¢, making this a high-risk signal.
$20,730 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp joins Senegal cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet joined a large 40-wallet Senegal buy wave, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- This bettor has won 23 of 24 resolved trades and is up $113,787 lifetime.
- 40 wallets bought the same Senegal side for $178,736, with linked funding in the cluster.
- The trade is high-risk now: Senegal was bought at 40¢ but has fallen to about 2¢.
$4,000 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 97%
40-wallet Senegal push
High-conviction one-sided Senegal flow from 40 wallets, but this specific wallet’s Belgium sale may partly be profit-taking and the market has since moved sharply against Senegal.
- 40 wallets bought the Senegal side in the same window, totaling about $179K.
- This new wallet is only 8 days old but has already placed 11 flagged bets and is up about $4K.
- The trade was effectively a Senegal entry at 20¢, though the market has since moved heavily toward Belgium.
$3,472 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 40%
Profitable bettor joins 40-wallet cluster
High-conviction contrarian Senegal positioning from a profitable serial cross-market bettor and a 40-wallet same-side cluster, despite the market moving sharply toward Belgium.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,349 resolved trades, 72% wins, and $123.7K lifetime profit.
- 40 wallets are all taking the Senegal side, totaling $178.7K in the same direction.
- This is a contrarian entry at 11¢ while the market now prices Senegal around 2¢.
$1,775 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 72%
40-wallet underdog cluster
High-score alert driven by a 40-wallet one-sided underdog cluster plus a profitable serial cross-market trader, though the trade has moved sharply against them.
- 40 wallets backed the same underdog side for $178,736, with linked funding in the group.
- This trader has a strong long-term record: 73% wins and about $129,753 in profit across 509 resolved bets.
- The trade is highly contrarian now, effectively backing the 2% side after the market moved hard toward the favorite.
$1,877 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 78%
40-wallet Senegal cluster
Strong coordinated Senegal-buying flow from 40 wallets, but the market has since moved sharply against the trade with Belgium now at 98%.
- 40 wallets are all betting the same way, with $178K flowing toward Senegal.
- This bettor has a long history across 33 events and is up $68K lifetime.
- The trade is now very contrarian: they effectively bought Senegal at 20¢ while the market now prices Senegal near 2¢.
$4,119 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 62%
44-wallet Senegal surge
High-conviction Senegal-side flow: 44 wallets have bought the same direction for $287k, and this profitable serial sports trader joined by selling Belgium.
- 44 wallets are all betting Senegal’s side, totaling $287,606 in one-sided flow.
- This bettor has a long track record: 512 resolved bets and $69,467 in lifetime profit.
- Selling Belgium at 63¢ is equivalent to buying Senegal at 37¢, better than the current 41¢ market price.
$4,037 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 69%
44-wallet Senegal flow
A large 44-wallet one-sided flow is leaning Senegal despite this specific wallet appearing to be closing a prior Belgium position.
- 44 wallets are all taking the Senegal side, totaling about $288K in recent flow.
- The market saw a 50x volume spike, suggesting unusual pre-match positioning.
- This wallet has traded across 41 events with a 56% win rate, but this trade looks like exiting a Belgium position.
$2,187 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 52%
Top Holders
- 0x580d...eb6d — Senegal, $260,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xf751...fec8 — Senegal, $199,998 (54% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Senegal, $150,000 (61% win rate)
- 0xf81a...719a — Senegal, $96,150 (94% win rate)
- 0xdcaf...e271 — Senegal, $79,500 (58% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Senegal, $73,897 (80% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Senegal, $72,736 (89% win rate)
- 0x8b5a...00f2 — Senegal, $63,250 (52% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Senegal, $50,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xef27...381b — Senegal, $48,780 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
France routs England in high-scoring match
Covers 9 related markets
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win by three
Covers 14 related markets
B8 sweep BIG
Covers 3 related markets
Spain routs in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Top favorites to win World Cup
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
