This bettor has won 99% of 1,105 resolved positions and is up $13.8M lifetime. They put $20.7k on Austria not winning, adding a strong sharp-money signal at 68¢. This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 88 events with a 99% hit rate.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.08M lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 430 events and a 94% win rate. A 115x pre-event volume spike suggests this market is drawing unusual attention.

Part of: Algeria vs. Austria

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,573,377.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp 85% winner joins No wave

A proven 85% winner exited Yes at 65¢, effectively aligning with a large 18-wallet move toward No before the market collapsed to 20¢ Yes.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $60.7K lifetime.
18 wallets bet the same No direction with $128K total, suggesting strong one-sided conviction.
The trade effectively entered No at 35¢ before the market moved sharply toward No.

$4,047 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

$1.2M linked No cluster

A very large coordinated No buy cluster with linked wallets, sharp sports bettors, and major price impact makes this worth surfacing despite some opposing Yes flow.

51 wallets bought No for $1.24M, including 14 wallets sharing a funder.
Several strong sports traders joined, including one bettor with an 88% hit rate over 81 resolved bets.
The market moved hard toward No, with Austria Yes falling 32 points and volume spiking 128x above normal.

$1,235,277 on No

Sharp bettor joins Yes cluster

A proven 77% sports bettor bought Austria Yes while 33 wallets were also one-sided Yes, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $24.7K lifetime across 52 positions.
33 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $252.9K on Austria Yes.
The market has moved against the 59¢ entry and now sits near 26¢, making this a high-risk contrarian signal.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

99% winner buying NO

Elite sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $13.8M lifetime profit bought $20.7k of Austria No at 68¢.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,105 resolved positions and is up $13.8M lifetime.
They put $20.7k on Austria not winning, adding a strong sharp-money signal at 68¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 88 events with a 99% hit rate.

$1,176 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

94% winner bought No

Elite high-volume bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $1.08M lifetime profit bought No on a heavily traded Austria market despite the market moving toward Yes.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.08M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 430 events and a 94% win rate.
A 115x pre-event volume spike suggests this market is drawing unusual attention.

$1,378 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Million-profit sharp cross-market bet

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Austria across a broader cross-market position.

This bettor wins 76% of their resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
They have put $28.7K across 3 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.
Entry at 26¢ offers about 3.8x upside if Austria wins.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

79% cross-market bettor

Sharp 79% lifetime wallet with serial cross-market sports history is buying No despite the market's recent move against that side, with clustering and a major pre-event volume spike adding support.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $21,004 lifetime.
They have traded across 52 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself worth following.
Four linked wallets share the same funder, and market volume is running 224x above its historical average.

$1,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a perfect 72/72 resolved record and positive P&L bought Austria No at 74¢ despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor has won 72 of 72 resolved bets and is up $13.8k lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 50 events with a perfect resolved record so far.
Buying No at 74¢ aligns with the market move against Austria, down 7 points today.

$2,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

84% serial cross-market bettor

High-scoring alert from a serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate buying $10k of Austria Yes, though lifetime P&L is negative.

This bettor has won 16 of 19 resolved positions, with wins coming at much longer average odds than expected.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 39 events and $587k in tracked related bets.
They put $10k on Austria at 27¢, going against a market that has drifted down 7 points today.

$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

78% cross-market sharp

Surface this because a proven 78% win-rate cross-market bettor is buying Austria despite recent price weakness, with a fresh $6.5k position at 27¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $25k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with the same 78% hit rate.
Austria has fallen 7 points in the last day, but this sharp is buying Yes at 27¢.

$6,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xc67a...f0b6 — Outcome 10187069, $1,543,858 (64% win rate)
0x4c6a...0f47 — Outcome 10187069, $1,209,491 (88% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 27404405, $688,082
0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 10187069, $229,013 (100% win rate)
0x82ba...afea — Outcome 10187069, $214,246 (85% win rate)
0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 10187069, $200,000 (51% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 10187069, $128,451
0xef50...e3bd — Outcome 10187069, $68,391 (47% win rate)
0xaa07...2125 — Outcome 10187069, $58,789 (52% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 10187069, $50,240 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

ResolvedAlgeria vs. Austria$1,573,377 tracked23 signalsGamesSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 27, 2026 If Austria wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”