Part of: Peru vs. Spain

Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,254.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable, highly active cross-market trader is re-entering a No-draw position as the market breaks sharply toward No on thin recent volume.

  • This bettor is up $80,565 lifetime and has traded across 27 related events.
  • They bought No at 90¢ after previously holding the same side, suggesting renewed conviction.
  • No has broken sharply higher, and this $1,473 buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume.

$1,473 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor bought No after a major breakout, with a long cross-market history and $349k lifetime profit.

  • This bettor is up $349k across 2,401 resolved trades, showing a long profitable track record.
  • They bought No at 89¢ after the price broke far above its prior 47–49¢ range.
  • The $1.37k buy is roughly a full day of market volume, suggesting real conviction in a quiet market.

$1,370 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

Quiet-market No whale

A single bettor put $4.4k on No in an extremely thin Peru-Spain draw market with only $304 liquidity and no recent volume, suggesting strong conviction in a stale/quiet book.

  • A $4.4k bet hit a market with only $304 of liquidity and zero 24h volume.
  • The bettor bought No at 49¢ while the market still broadly prices the draw around 54%.
  • The wide spread suggests this may be a stale or inefficient market rather than normal sports flow.

$4,411 on No | Wallet win rate: 22%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 53238707, $21,458
  2. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 20700088, $3,820
  3. 0xf070...57b8 Outcome 20700088, $2,308 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 20700088, $2,280 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x656e...9339 Outcome 20700088, $500
  6. 0xa664...f849 Outcome 20700088, $500 (86% win rate)
  7. 0xe2c5...88d0 Outcome 20700088, $385
  8. 0x21a3...9e97 Outcome 20700088, $340
  9. 0x0766...77dc Outcome 20700088, $318
  10. 0x6318...46b1 Outcome 20700088, $305

Related Theses

LeBron won’t join any listed team

Covers 4 related markets

Drake sales miss 450-550k

Covers 2 related markets

Fed will cut rates in September

Covers 2 related markets

No traditional giant wins EPL

Covers 5 related markets

Ballon d’Or goes elsewhere

Covers 4 related markets

Portugal leads at halftime

Covers 1 related market

South America won't win World Cup

Covers 1 related market

Non-Democrat makes California runoff

Covers 1 related market

Cepeda loses 2026 runoff

Covers 1 related market

Portugal-Chile will not draw

Covers 1 related market

Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?

ResolvedPeru vs. Spain$7,254 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 8, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?

95d ago

$1,473 on No at 90¢

Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?

95d ago

$1,370 on No at 89¢

Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?

115d ago

$4,411 on No at 49¢

Related Theses