Part of: Portugal vs. DR Congo
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
This Polymarket market asks whether Portugal will win its FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves “Yes” if Portugal wins in regular time, and “No” for any other result, with $3,452 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently noted.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 17, 2026 If Portugal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,608.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
18-hour repeat whale
Very new wallet has rapidly placed six large flagged bets totaling $35.9k, including a fresh $3.5k Portugal Yes buy, though it lacks a meaningful resolved track record.
- This wallet is only 18 hours old but has already placed 6 large flagged bets totaling $35.9k.
- They bought $3.5k of Portugal Yes at 77¢, adding another sizable sports position quickly.
- Entry at 77¢ implies they are backing Portugal as a strong favorite with about 30% upside to $1.
$3,452 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
4-wallet funded cluster
A 4-wallet funded cluster has put $15.1k into the same Portugal fade, led by a highly active wallet up $1.37M lifetime.
- Four wallets funded by the same address have put $15.1k into this market.
- The lead wallet is up $1.37M across 77k resolved bets.
- They are buying No at 24¢, fading Portugal despite a liquid 76% Yes market.
$1,056 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
New wallet, repeat large bets
Brand-new wallet made a repeat large bet on Portugal Yes, with $18k total flagged activity and meaningful size relative to recent market volume.
- A 4-hour-old wallet has already placed $18k across three flagged large bets.
- This $8k Portugal Yes buy is sizable for the market and shows strong conviction at 77¢.
- Entry at 77¢ implies the bettor sees Portugal as meaningfully underpriced despite already being favored.
$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable 79% winner
Sharp wallet override: a profitable 79% winner added $1.1k to Portugal Yes on a quiet market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $9.4k lifetime.
- The $1.1k buy was nearly 3x this market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet book.
- Entry at 78¢ suggests they are backing Portugal as a strong favorite with room to 88¢.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $55,747 (54% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $34,472
- 0x2117...5c26 — Yes, $22,313 (45% win rate)
- 0xc0b8...fee9 — Yes, $16,277
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Yes, $9,055 (48% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — No, $8,474 (62% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Yes, $6,978 (53% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — No, $6,624 (50% win rate)
- 0x972b...78ba — No, $6,479
- 0x0164...9ed6 — No, $5,348 (55% win rate)
