Part of: San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $134,026.

Notable Trades

Elite sports sharp buying NO

Sharp sports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $858k lifetime profit bought No on San Jose despite modest trade size.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $858k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 237 markets across 180 events.
Entry at 57¢ suggests they see San Jose failing to win as underpriced.

$1,195 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large track record is buying No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 63% of 308 resolved bets and is up about $1.85M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.57M tracked across 155 events.
Market activity spiked 386x above its normal pace before the match.

$6,243 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp six-wallet Yes push

Strong one-sided San Jose buying from six wallets, including highly profitable serial sports traders and an 87% winner, amid a major pre-event volume spike.

Six wallets bought $77.7k of Yes, creating a concentrated one-sided move before the match resolves.
The cluster includes a bettor who wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $858.9k lifetime.
Multiple serial cross-market traders are involved, including wallets up $8.0M and $9.4M lifetime.

$77,675 on Yes

Profitable sports whale on NO

A highly profitable serial sports bettor put nearly $49k on San Jose not winning amid a major pre-event volume spike and immediate favorable price movement.

This bettor has a long record: 308 resolved bets, 63% wins, and about $1.85M in profit.
They put nearly $49k on No, a very large position for this market before the volume spike.
The entry around 50¢ has already moved to 54¢, suggesting the market is following their direction.

$48,912 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 67227143, $126,990 (65% win rate)
0x72d8...5213 — Outcome 67227143, $62,096 (100% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 67227143, $14,954 (72% win rate)
0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 67227143, $11,000 (50% win rate)
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 67227143, $8,980 (52% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 67227143, $3,708 (56% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10296656, $2,160
0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 67227143, $2,083 (95% win rate)
0x9a90...1ddd — Outcome 67227143, $1,630
0xa35b...60e9 — Outcome 67227143, $1,461 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedSan Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas$134,026 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

102¢

69¢

36¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction