Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,510.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
83% winning serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate bought Under at 87¢ before the market moved to 98¢, supported by a major volume spike and price impact.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $97.6K lifetime.
- They bought Under at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 98¢.
- This market saw a 23.8x volume spike with a large move toward Under.
$1,514 on Under | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor joined Over push
A proven profitable bettor bought Over alongside a 7-wallet same-side push, though the price has since moved sharply against the trade.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved positions and is up $56K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling $20.7K during a 29x volume spike.
- The price has fallen from 47¢ to 16¢, making this a sharp-bettor rebound play rather than momentum.
$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor joins Over flow
High composite sports alert driven by a strong 82% historical winner plus 7-wallet same-direction Over flow, though this wallet appears to be closing an Under position rather than opening a clean fresh bet.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 68 positions, a strong sports-copy signal despite modest lifetime losses.
- Seven wallets have all moved toward Over, putting $20.7K on the same side before the match.
- The trade is effectively an Over entry at 35¢, well above the current 16¢ market price.
$2,476 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Over despite the market moving sharply against that side, with additional one-sided wallet flow supporting the thesis.
- This bettor has won 64% of over 16,000 resolved trades and is up $16.2M lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought the same Over side for about $20.7K total, suggesting broader one-sided conviction.
- The entry was 33¢, but Over has since fallen to 16¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper follow price now.
$1,737 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%
Six-wallet Under surge
High composite alert driven by six-wallet one-sided Under flow, major pre-event volume spikes, and a 25-point move toward Under despite the main wallet lacking a strong lifetime track record.
- Six wallets are all betting Under, with $64K flowing the same way before the match.
- This market’s volume spiked more than 30x its normal pace as Under moved about 25 points in a day.
- The lead wallet is active across 8 markets in this event, suggesting a broader game thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$11,884 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp bettor joins Under cluster
Sharp sports wallet with an 88% long-run win record bought Under, and broader one-sided flow supports the same side despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 259 positions and is profitable lifetime.
- Five wallets have bought the same side, totaling about $59K on Under.
- The market saw a 60x volume spike, suggesting unusual attention before resolution.
$2,325 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp cluster buying Under
Strong one-sided Under cluster with $40k across six wallets, including profitable sharp bettors and a new repeat whale, amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Six wallets put $40k on Under, and the market has already moved from roughly 50–58¢ entries to 62¢.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $10.5k lifetime.
- A 1-day-old repeat whale has already flagged $54k in large bets and is showing early profit.
$40,462 on Under
Coordinated Under surge
A coordinated Under push moved the market sharply from the 40–60¢ range to 84¢ amid a major volume spike, though the wallets do not have strong long-term records.
- Three wallets put $23.2K on Under, including repeated buys as the price climbed from 41¢ to 68¢.
- The move coincided with a 29x volume spike and pushed Under up about 27 percentage points.
- This is more of a momentum-and-flow signal than a proven sharp-bettor signal, since the main wallets have weak lifetime P&L.
$23,157 on Under
Five-wallet Over surge
Coordinated Over buying from 5 wallets, an 88x volume spike, and a sharp price move make this worth surfacing despite the individual wallet being new and unproven.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $30K on Over.
- Market volume spiked 88x versus normal, with nearly $393K traded in 24 hours.
- Over has moved up about 40 points in a day, suggesting strong pre-game momentum.
$1,041 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Over steam with sharp buyer
Heavy live-market steam pushed Over sharply higher, with three wallets buying $23.6k and one profitable high-volume bettor joining despite some opposing Under flow.
- A profitable bettor up about $2.0M lifetime joined the Over side.
- Three wallets bought $23.6k of Over as the price jumped roughly 46 points in a day.
- Market volume spiked nearly 60x normal, suggesting unusually strong attention on this total.
$25,914 on Over
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 57131827, $41,092 (65% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 57131827, $35,567 (55% win rate)
- 0x5d75...3d44 — Outcome 57131827, $11,141 (76% win rate)
- 0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 57131827, $8,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 57131827, $6,973 (55% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Outcome 57131827, $5,000 (24% win rate)
- 0x9212...4040 — Outcome 57131827, $4,142 (64% win rate)
- 0xa209...ffbe — Outcome 57131827, $3,337 (98% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 57131827, $2,410 (78% win rate)
- 0xd146...9bf0 — Outcome 57131827, $2,000 (40% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
