LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
This Polymarket-style prediction market tracks the LCK best-of-three match between Nongshim Red Force and Kiwoom DRX, scheduled for April 11. Traders are pricing which team will win the series, with the market resolving to the winning side once the match is completed. It resolves as canceled if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,482.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate bought Nongshim at 23¢ just before a sharp rebound to 40%, suggesting strong timing and a meaningful mispricing read.
- This bettor wins 77% of 1,105 resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- They bought Nongshim at 23¢, and the market is already up to 40¢ after a fast 25-point swing.
- This wallet has bet nearly $756k across 59 related markets, so this looks like a repeatable event-trading edge.
$1,542 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying dip
A proven high-win-rate bettor bought into a sharp 25-point selloff on a major LCK market, suggesting a deliberate attempt to catch a perceived overreaction.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $130.8k across 1,072 bets
- They bought Nongshim at 42¢ right after a fast 25-point drop, signaling they saw the move as overdone
- The market is deep and active, so stepping in during a violent selloff stands out more than routine thin-market noise
$1,015 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 80%
84% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable, high-volume sports trader with an 84% win rate bought Kiwoom DRX before a major volume spike and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $3.1M across nearly 1,300 resolved bets
- They have bet $1.14M across 166 related markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off pick
- Bought Kiwoom DRX at 59¢ and the market is already up to 64¢ after a 20.7x volume spike
$3,449 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 84%
Pro sports sharp in size
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 66% win rate bought $26.6k of Kiwoom DRX during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a strong signal worth following.
- This bettor has won 442 of 670 resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
- They bought $26.6k of Kiwoom DRX at 58¢ while this event saw an 81.7x volume spike.
- The wallet has traded 109 markets across 85 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports process rather than a one-off punt.
$26,633 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 66%
3-wallet sharp cluster
Three coordinated wallets with strong historical records piled $33.9k into Kiwoom DRX during a major pre-match volume spike, helping push the market sharply toward DRX.
- Three wallets bought Kiwoom DRX for $33.9k, and two of them are linked by funding source.
- This group includes bettors winning 87% and 92% of resolved trades, while the largest wallet is up $4.8M lifetime.
- Their buys came during an 84x volume spike and a fast 25-point market move, showing strong conviction behind DRX.
$33,864 on Kiwoom DRX
87% win-rate bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought nearly $5k of Kiwoom DRX after a major breakout, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $543k across 352 bets.
- They bought nearly $5k of Kiwoom DRX after a sharp 29-point breakout, showing conviction behind the move.
- Entry at 60¢ suggests they still saw value even after the market had already moved hard.
$4,940 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp-led dip-buy cluster
Three wallets piled $13.1k into Nongshim at 42¢ during a sharp 25-point selloff, and one of them has an unusually strong long-term record, making this coordinated dip-buy worth watching.
- A bettor who wins 80% of their trades and is up $130.8k joined this buy cluster
- Three wallets bought $13.1k of Nongshim at 42¢ as the price crashed 25 points in minutes
- The market saw a 19.4x volume spike, suggesting traders were rushing to reposition before the match
$13,115 on Nongshim Red Force
Profitable underdog specialist
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with nearly $900k in profits bought the 31¢ underdog in a liquid esports market during an unusual pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor has won 145 of 234 resolved markets and is up about $898k lifetime.
- They often trade related markets across events, with over $615k tracked across 203 markets.
- They bought Kiwoom DRX at 31¢ while market activity was running 115x above normal, signaling a deliberate underdog shot.
$2,554 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable esports thesis trader
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with 50 resolved bets and $51k profit bought the underdog during a huge pre-match volume surge, making this a potentially informative esports position worth surfacing.
- This bettor has won 62% of 50 resolved bets and is up about $51k lifetime.
- They bought Kiwoom DRX at 31¢ during a 115x volume spike, suggesting a strong underdog view.
- The bet is sizable at $7.1k, though it landed in a very liquid market so conviction matters more than market impact.
$7,064 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 62%
New whale betting aggressively
A 1-day-old wallet has already deployed over $100k across 24 flagged bets and is profitable, making this fresh $7.9k buy look like repeat high-conviction action worth watching despite limited resolved history.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already made 24 flagged bets totaling $103k
- It is already up $5.1k after just 4 resolved markets, suggesting early edge
- This is a fresh $7.9k buy at 70¢ on a major esports market with tight pricing
$7,928 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 40%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 17179002, $217,330 (66% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 17179002, $55,356 (84% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 10974008, $29,278 (53% win rate)
- 0x509d...0a6b — Outcome 10974008, $27,527 (57% win rate)
- 0x8adc...bafc — Outcome 10974008, $24,405 (55% win rate)
- 0x648d...1366 — Outcome 10974008, $23,058 (74% win rate)
- 0x47f8...6699 — Outcome 17179002, $22,786 (62% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Outcome 10974008, $18,839 (45% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 10974008, $15,913 (98% win rate)
- 0xdd54...b245 — Outcome 17179002, $13,000 (71% win rate)
