This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $85k lifetime. They bought Under at 27¢, taking the less popular side despite Over trading near 72%. Their past wins came at 46¢ average odds, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced bets.

Part of: UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

O/U 1.5 Rounds

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,359.

Categories: Games, Sports, UFC

Notable Trades

Profitable UFC sharp

Surfacing because a proven profitable bettor with an 83% record and strong edge bought Under at 27¢ on a liquid UFC rounds market.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $85k lifetime.
They bought Under at 27¢, taking the less popular side despite Over trading near 72%.
Their past wins came at 46¢ average odds, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced bets.

$2,060 on Under | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial contrarian

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought $11.3k of Under despite the market moving toward Over, making this a notable contrarian position.

This bettor is up $3.29M lifetime with 60% wins across 458 resolved bets.
They bought $11.3k of Under, a large position relative to the market’s $21.4k liquidity.
The bet goes against recent momentum, with Over up 22 points this week.

$11,299 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0x777d...5143 — Outcome 29660117, $41,849 (60% win rate)
0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 29660117, $16,888 (73% win rate)
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 29660117, $12,943 (74% win rate)
0x531b...32b6 — Outcome 29660117, $7,630 (83% win rate)
0xe9f5...3e7a — Outcome 29660117, $3,550 (60% win rate)
0x5e2a...4fd0 — Outcome 29660117, $704
0xe3e0...708f — Outcome 29660117, $415
0x6727...231d — Outcome 29660117, $326 (87% win rate)
0x39c6...0ac1 — Outcome 29660117, $293 (94% win rate)
0xe301...8654 — Outcome 29660117, $287 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

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Wings Dream game goes over

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Thunder win by double digits

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Blue Jays Yankees stay under

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Fight ends early

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O/U 1.5 Rounds

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)$13,359 tracked2 signalsGamesSportsUFC

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Michel Pereira and Shara Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Over”

75¢

62¢

48¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction