Part of: Pistons vs. Magic
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,377.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
90% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly proven sharp wallet with a 90% win rate and $1.5M profit is buying Over at 36¢ after a sharp drop, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the moderate ticket size.
- This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up $1.5M across 522 resolved markets
- They trade heavily across related markets with the same event and have kept that 90% hit rate over 760 markets
- Bought Over at 36¢ after this market fell 14.5 points in a day, suggesting they see the price as too low
$2,613 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp cluster on Under
A coordinated 3-wallet buy on Under is notable because it includes a proven high-volume bettor with a 71% win rate and comes as part of a strong serial cross-market pattern across hundreds of events.
- One wallet in this cluster wins 71% of 4,185 resolved bets and is up $2.6M lifetime.
- These 3 wallets all bought Under within minutes of each other, showing coordinated conviction across the same game.
- The biggest sharp entered as low as 59¢, while Under now trades near 61¢.
$3,428 on Under
95% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 95% win rate and $380k profit sold Under at 50¢, which is equivalent to buying Over at 50¢ in this balanced NBA total market.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $380k across 254 bets
- They trade heavily across 409 markets and 379 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Selling Under at 50¢ is the same as buying Over at 50¢, right at a tight 49-50¢ market
$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
95% win-rate serial timer
A highly profitable serial last-minute sports bettor with a 95% win rate bought Under 2 minutes before resolution, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $184.6k on $449k invested.
- They placed this bet just 2 minutes before resolution, and they have hit 14 straight near-resolution markets.
- They also trade across 57 related markets with the same 95% hit rate, which points to a repeatable edge.
$2,513 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%
85% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with an exceptional long-term track record bought Over at 51¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $1.45M across 745 resolved markets.
- They have placed more than $4.1M across 517 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
- Bought Over at 51¢ in a tight market, implying they see the true odds as meaningfully better than a coin flip.
$1,074 on Over | Wallet win rate: 88%
85% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.45M in profit is buying Over at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up $1.45M across 745 resolved positions
- They have made over $4.1M of cross-market bets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought Over at 51¢, a near-even price that suggests they see the total as mispriced
$1,074 on Over | Wallet win rate: 88%
91% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate is taking another position across this event, making this modest Over buy worth tracking despite the otherwise light signal mix.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $964k lifetime.
- They have been betting across 4 markets in this same event, which points to a broader game script view.
- Bought Over at 52¢, a near-even price in a liquid market with room to follow around 57¢.
$1,538 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable new wallet presses Under
A 9-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profitability just put $9.1k into Under at 49¢, suggesting real conviction rather than routine flow.
- This 9-day-old wallet has already triggered 37 large-bet alerts and is up $24.3k early.
- They bought $9.1k of Under in three quick trades at 49¢, showing concentrated conviction.
- A 78% record on 9 settled bets is a strong early signal, even if the sample is still small.
$9,139 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 17676508, $37,593 (64% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 17676508, $7,257 (89% win rate)
- 0x6814...a9e7 — Outcome 17676508, $3,993 (56% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 17676508, $1,468 (68% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 17676508, $1,244
- 0x7bec...07a8 — Outcome 17676508, $1,000 (72% win rate)
- 0xf41a...ea2b — Outcome 17676508, $1,000 (61% win rate)
- 0xd092...342a — Outcome 17676508, $788
- 0x16ce...eba1 — Outcome 17676508, $700 (77% win rate)
- 0xc25c...f6df — Outcome 17676508, $656
Related Theses
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Cavaliers keep low-scoring game close
Covers 4 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring close game
Covers 6 related markets
Spurs win a close game
Covers 7 related markets
