Part of: Paris: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro

Paris: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Paris tennis match between Madison Keys and Fiona Ferro, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Madison Keys or Fiona Ferro based on which player advances, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter currently tracks $8,200 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,200.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 66% win rate is placing an $8.2k favorite bet on Madison Keys, though the historical ROI is modest.

  • This bettor has 524 resolved bets with a 66% win rate and positive lifetime profit.
  • They have traded across 202 events for $850k total, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy rather than a one-off wager.
  • The $8.2k buy is large for this market, equal to about 63% of the past day’s volume.

$8,200 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 61178137, $8,070 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x64c1...7836 Outcome 61178137, $5,000
  3. 0x4699...5051 Outcome 61178137, $3,013 (9% win rate)
  4. 0x435d...c52a Outcome 61178137, $938
  5. 0x1d68...4354 Outcome 61178137, $679
  6. 0x0f39...7a21 Outcome 61178137, $364
  7. 0x1b5c...ab00 Outcome 61178137, $315
  8. 0xf753...bcfe Outcome 61178137, $247
  9. 0x45d5...a7a0 Outcome 61178137, $200
  10. 0x18a4...3a31 Outcome 61178137, $172 (54% win rate)

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Paris: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro

4dParis: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro$8,200 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Fiona Ferro in the Paris, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Fiona Ferro. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Ferro' if Fiona Ferro advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Madison Keys
102¢
86¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Paris: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro

2d ago

$8,200 on Madison Keys at 82¢

Related Theses