Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
This Polymarket asks whether the highest temperature for the Seoul area reaches the 20°C range on April 25, 2026. It resolves using the daily high recorded at Incheon Intl Airport Station on Wunderground, making it a weather-based prediction market tied to official historical observations. PolySpotter tracks smart money activity on this market, which currently shows $1,080 in tracked smart money across 1 signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,080.
Categories: Weather, Recurring, Seoul, Daily Temperature, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50, Highest temperature
Notable Trades
113-for-113 weather bettor
A wallet with a perfect 113-for-113 record bought into a fast-moving weather market at 81¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size and only moderate composite score.
- This bettor has won 113 of 113 resolved markets, a rare record even if most wins came on heavy favorites.
- They bought Yes at 81¢ after a sharp intraday move, suggesting confidence the market still underprices this outcome.
- The market moved hard today and the order book is thin, so even a $1.1k buy can reflect real conviction.
$1,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $22,891
- 0x116d...fbf1 — Yes, $10,533 (100% win rate)
- 0x0f94...8ffe — No, $8,977
- 0x0e06...42f0 — Yes, $4,275
- 0x788f...6eca — Yes, $4,061
- 0x2f60...4127 — Yes, $2,459 (100% win rate)
- 0x1546...778b — Yes, $2,404
- 0x8dec...46e0 — Yes, $2,000
- 0xf73f...ee53 — No, $1,973
- 0xdd61...ebbd — Yes, $1,441
