Part of: Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
This Polymarket market asks whether the highest wind speed recorded at the summit of Mt. Washington, New Hampshire, during July 2026 will be at least 100 mph. It resolves on July 31, 2026 using Mt. Washington Weather Observatory F6 reports, with PolySpotter tracking $10,766 in smart money activity and 1 signal so far.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,766.
Categories: climate, Weather, Weather & Science, USA, New Hampshire
Notable Trades
6-wallet weather cluster
A 6-wallet funded cluster is making large Yes bets on a very thin weather market, driving a sharp price move despite the lead trader’s track record being only modestly profitable.
- Six wallets sharing the same funder are betting the same way, with $10.8k deployed into a thin market.
- The buy size is large for this market, equal to about 2x the entire listed liquidity.
- Yes has jumped 61 points in a day, suggesting this cluster is driving strong momentum.
$10,766 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xa14b...05e4 — Yes, $5,139 (74% win rate)
- 0x66f3...787c — No, $1,575
- 0x8931...a90c — Yes, $1,460 (94% win rate)
- 0x2107...8a8a — No, $1,351
- 0xee67...67a6 — No, $1,053
- 0x4ffe...9f71 — No, $701
- 0x7610...e332 — No, $657
- 0x52eb...67ac — No, $338
- 0x7495...7fcf — No, $207
- 0xc602...7fc1 — No, $159 (43% win rate)
Related Theses
Mt Washington winds hit 100
Covers 3 related markets