Part of: Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?

This Polymarket market asks whether the highest wind speed recorded at the summit of Mt. Washington, New Hampshire, during July 2026 will be at least 100 mph. It resolves on July 31, 2026 using Mt. Washington Weather Observatory F6 reports, with PolySpotter tracking $10,766 in smart money activity and 1 signal so far.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,766.

Categories: climate, Weather, Weather & Science, USA, New Hampshire

Notable Trades

6-wallet weather cluster

A 6-wallet funded cluster is making large Yes bets on a very thin weather market, driving a sharp price move despite the lead trader’s track record being only modestly profitable.

  • Six wallets sharing the same funder are betting the same way, with $10.8k deployed into a thin market.
  • The buy size is large for this market, equal to about 2x the entire listed liquidity.
  • Yes has jumped 61 points in a day, suggesting this cluster is driving strong momentum.

$10,766 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa14b...05e4 Yes, $5,139 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x66f3...787c No, $1,575
  3. 0x8931...a90c Yes, $1,460 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x2107...8a8a No, $1,351
  5. 0xee67...67a6 No, $1,053
  6. 0x4ffe...9f71 No, $701
  7. 0x7610...e332 No, $657
  8. 0x52eb...67ac No, $338
  9. 0x7495...7fcf No, $207
  10. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $159 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

Mt Washington winds hit 100

Covers 3 related markets

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?

8dHighest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?$10,766 tracked1 signalclimateWeatherWeather & ScienceUSANew Hampshire
Yes
99¢
No
1¢

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Price History — “Yes
101¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?

5d ago

$10,766 on Yes at 76¢

76¢99¢23¢

Related Theses