This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 147 bets, with a long pattern across 59 similar events. Placed 1.3 minutes before resolution, matching a recurring last-minute trading style. The trade moved against them and Up is now priced at 0%, so this is better as a pattern to study than a live copy.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,512.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down

Notable Trades

Serial crypto timer

Serial last-minute BTC candle trader with 90% resolved win rate placed a near-resolution Up bet, though lifetime P&L is negative and the market has already resolved against it.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 147 bets, with a long pattern across 59 similar events.
Placed 1.3 minutes before resolution, matching a recurring last-minute trading style.
The trade moved against them and Up is now priced at 0%, so this is better as a pattern to study than a live copy.

$1,704 on Up | Wallet win rate: 91%

90% serial timer buying Up

Serial near-resolution BTC candle trader with a 90% hit rate bought Up twice in the final minutes despite sharp adverse price movement.

This bettor has won 90% of 147 resolved trades across 59 similar events.
They bought Up twice in the final 6 minutes, including one trade just 1.3 minutes before resolution.
The market moved hard against Up, so this is a high-conviction late entry at a lower current price.

$2,756 on Up | Wallet win rate: 91%

90% last-minute BTC timer

Serial cross-market bettor with a 90% resolved win rate bought Up minutes before resolution, a timing pattern worth watching despite modest size and negative lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 90% of 147 resolved trades across many short-term markets.
They bought Up 6 minutes before resolution, matching a repeat last-minute trading pattern.
BTC Up had already moved 24 points today, and the entry at 74¢ shows continued conviction.

$1,052 on Up | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0x2cfc...78a8 — Outcome 26698037, $6,182 (91% win rate)
0x2a82...491b — Outcome 26698037, $477
0xadb3...83b2 — Outcome 26698037, $391
0xd39a...55ab — Outcome 26698037, $385
0x63f7...ed20 — Outcome 26698037, $288
0xeb7f...1f1e — Outcome 26698037, $254
0xa4e0...4da1 — Outcome 26698037, $200
0xdc3f...f038 — Outcome 26698037, $200
0x2bdb...fc3b — Outcome 26698037, $153
0xb021...ebd9 — Outcome 26698037, $140

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises by 11PM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin falls on May 11

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin stays below $78K

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET$5,512 tracked3 signalsHide From NewCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringBitcoin1HUp or Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.