Part of: Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac

Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac

This market refers to the tennis match between Mees Rottgering and Tomas Machac in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mees Rottgering' if Mees Rottgering advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Mees Rottgering. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $413,214.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Machac cluster

Five wallets bought Tomas Machac amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated sports-betting signal despite the lead wallet's only moderate track record.

Five wallets are aligned on Tomas Machac, committing nearly $18,000 to the same outcome.
Trading volume was 9,206x the recent average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.
The lead bettor is up $431,000 lifetime across 4,730 resolved bets, though a 60% win rate is only moderate and the position has moved from 53% to 41%.

$3,240 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 61%

Three-wallet coordinated Rottgering exit

Three wallets sold nearly $95,000 of Mees Rottgering, including a highly profitable bettor, and the market has since fallen to 62%.

Three wallets sold $94,684 of Mees Rottgering, creating a strong one-sided signal in a liquid tennis market.
The largest seller has won 10 of 10 resolved bets and is up $273,267 lifetime.
Mees Rottgering fell from the 67–79¢ sell entries to 62%, supporting the contrarian Tomas Machac thesis.

$94,684 on Tomas Machac

Linked wallets backing Machac

An 11-wallet, linked-funder cluster committed $53.9K to Tomas Machac amid a 439x volume spike, though the larger opposing Mees flow and underwater entries make this a high-risk contrarian signal.

Eleven wallets tied to two funders bought $53,852 of Tomas Machac during a 439x volume spike.
Two participants have unusually strong records, including 89% wins at a 64% average entry price and 81% wins at 68%.
The signal is contrarian and risky: nine wallets put $265,030 into Mees Rottgering, while most Machac buyers already held losing positions.

$37,967 on Tomas Machac

Sharp bettor scaling into Rottgering

A highly profitable serial trader with an 89% win rate added roughly $56.7K to an existing position amid coordinated nine-wallet buying and a sharp price increase.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.95 million lifetime, with a 26-point edge over average implied odds.
The wallet added $56.7K to an existing Rottgering position while nine wallets bought the same outcome for $265K total.
Rottgering moved from roughly 63–67% to 78%, confirming strong market momentum behind the trade.

$56,740 on Mees Rottgering | Wallet win rate: 89%

Five-wallet Machac buying cluster

A five-wallet coordinated position and extreme pre-event volume spike make this a notable Tomas Machac thesis, despite the lead trader's only moderate historical edge and adverse price movement.

Five wallets bought Tomas Machac together for nearly $18,000, signaling concentrated conviction.
The market saw a 9,207x volume spike versus its 24-hour average before the match.
The lead trader has 24,040 resolved bets and $6.5M in lifetime profit, though its 65% win rate is not exceptionally sharp relative to a 61¢ average winning price.

$4,958 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 69%

Four-wallet sharp tennis surge

Four wallets deployed $206,000 into Mees Rottgering, including highly profitable bettors, while the price surged nearly 28%.

Four wallets bought $206,000 of Mees Rottgering, a substantial position relative to the market’s $338,000 liquidity.
Two participating bettors have exceptional records: 90% wins across 288 trades and 89% across 71 trades.
The buying pushed Mees Rottgering from roughly 51% to 65%, signaling strong coordinated conviction despite competing Machac bets.

$206,033 on Mees Rottgering

Five-wallet Machac buying cluster

A five-wallet coordinated position and extreme pre-event volume spike make this a notable Tomas Machac thesis, despite the lead trader's only moderate historical edge and adverse price movement.

Five wallets bought Tomas Machac together for nearly $18,000, signaling concentrated conviction.
The market saw a 9,207x volume spike versus its 24-hour average before the match.
The lead trader has 24,040 resolved bets and $6.5M in lifetime profit, though its 65% win rate is not exceptionally sharp relative to a 61¢ average winning price.

$6,779 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 69%

Five-wallet Machac conviction cluster

Five wallets bought Tomas Machac for nearly $18,000 during an extreme volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction despite the position currently trading below entry.

Five wallets bought Tomas Machac in the same direction, committing nearly $18,000.
The market saw a 9,200x volume spike versus its recent average, suggesting unusually informed or urgent positioning.
This wallet added to an existing $3,000 Machac position at 53¢, though the outcome has since fallen to 41¢.

$1,590 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 61%

Five-wallet Machac cluster

Five wallets bought Tomas Machac amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated sports-betting signal despite the lead wallet's only moderate track record.

Five wallets are aligned on Tomas Machac, committing nearly $18,000 to the same outcome.
Trading volume was 9,206x the recent average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.
The lead bettor is up $431,000 lifetime across 4,730 resolved bets, though a 60% win rate is only moderate and the position has moved from 53% to 41%.

$1,222 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 61%