Part of: Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova
This Polymarket market covers who will advance in the Internationaux de Strasbourg tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by May 25, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $3,900 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,238.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
95% sharp tennis bettor
Proven sharp tennis bettor with a 95% record bought Daria Kasatkina before a quick move from 89% to 96%.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $114.6K lifetime.
- They have traded 63 events with a strong cross-market record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Their $3.9K buy at 89¢ preceded a fast move to 96¢, so the market already followed their direction.
$3,900 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable wallets drove breakout
Three profitable wallets bought Kasatkina in a tight cluster during a major pre-match volume spike, driving odds sharply from 38¢ to 80¢.
- Three profitable wallets all bought Kasatkina, totaling $6.9K in one direction.
- Kasatkina jumped from 38¢ to 80¢ during the buying, with volume 47x above normal.
- One wallet is up over $10M lifetime, and the other two are also strongly profitable.
$6,882 on Daria Kasatkina
Elite sharp buying underdog
Highly profitable serial sports bettor bought the Samsonova underdog amid a large pre-event volume spike and major price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 6,725 resolved bets and is up about $10.1M lifetime.
- They are a massive serial sports trader, active across 1,741 events with over $15M traded.
- Market activity spiked 47x before the match, and they bought Samsonova at 22¢ despite the market favoring Kasatkina.
$1,868 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 72%
73% winner, $10M up
A massively profitable serial sports bettor bought Samsonova despite the market later drifting against the position.
- This bettor has won 73% of 6,725 resolved bets and is up about $10.1M lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with over $15M placed across 1,741 events.
- They bought Samsonova at 50¢; the market is now around 44¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$3,999 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 72%
$10M sharp bought early
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $10M lifetime profit bought Daria Kasatkina at 38¢ before the market moved to 50¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 6,725 resolved bets and is up about $10.1M lifetime.
- They bought Daria Kasatkina at 38¢, and the market has already moved to 50¢.
- This wallet has traded across 1,741 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable edge.
$1,515 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 72%
85% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Daria Kasatkina despite the market now trading slightly cheaper.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $35.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 126 events with $344K+ deployed.
- Bought Daria Kasatkina at 53¢, while the market is now around 50–51¢.
$1,297 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable tennis whales cluster
Three wallets, including a highly profitable $10M lifetime winner, bought $21k of Samsonova amid a 123x pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor up $10.1M lifetime is part of this $21k cluster buying Samsonova.
- Three wallets all bought the same side before the match, with entries around 47–50¢.
- Market volume spiked 123x versus normal, suggesting unusually strong pre-match positioning.
$20,963 on Liudmila Samsonova
$10M-profit serial bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a huge track record bought Liudmila Samsonova at 47¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 6,725 resolved bets and is up about $10.1M lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader, with over $15M flagged across 2,021 markets.
- Buying Samsonova at 47¢ suggests they see value versus the market’s roughly even pricing.
$4,443 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 72%
84% tennis bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% win rate and strong positive P&L bought Liudmila Samsonova at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $5.2K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average 40¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices well.
- They bought Liudmila Samsonova at 47¢, implying they see value against the current near-even odds.
$1,157 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 84%
97% win-rate sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and $5.2M lifetime profit bought $7.6K of Liudmila Samsonova at 46¢.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $5.2M lifetime.
- They bought $7.6K of Liudmila Samsonova at 46¢, a meaningful position in a modest-volume tennis market.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see Samsonova as underpriced versus the current market.
$7,596 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 66467506, $47,313 (72% win rate)
- 0x83d2...d196 — Outcome 66467506, $17,370 (97% win rate)
- 0xc965...c8ec — Outcome 66467506, $17,142 (73% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Outcome 66467506, $16,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xce9f...26e8 — Outcome 66467506, $5,000 (97% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 66467506, $1,860
- 0x1a93...c3ea — Outcome 66467506, $1,777 (54% win rate)
- 0x8816...7738 — Outcome 66467506, $1,572 (90% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 66467506, $1,374 (70% win rate)
- 0x0267...7f7e — Outcome 66467506, $1,191 (68% win rate)
