Part of: Japan vs. Iceland

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If Japan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,234.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

81% sharp exits Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader exited Japan Yes at 43¢, effectively backing No before Yes fell sharply to 28¢, though it appears to be closing a prior losing position rather than opening a fresh short.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $606K lifetime.
  • They sold Japan Yes at 43¢, effectively backing No at 57¢ before Yes dropped to 28¢.
  • This was an exit from an existing Japan position, so the signal is bearish but less strong than a fresh No build.

$2,785 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Elite serial sports bettor

A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate and +$608k lifetime profit bought $5k of Yes, already moving from 77¢ to 82¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $608k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 789 events with over $4.2M in total activity, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Japan Yes at 77¢ and the market has already moved to 82¢.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

14-wallet funded cluster

A 14-wallet funded cluster is placing a coordinated-looking Yes bet into a Japan market that has already moved strongly upward.

  • 14 wallets tied to the same funder are involved, suggesting one actor is spreading exposure across accounts.
  • The bet is on Japan Yes at 84¢ after the market moved up 36 points this week.
  • The market is liquid enough to copy, with a tight 1¢ spread and nearly $24k traded in the last day.

$1,116 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

22-0 sports bettor

Surface despite weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a perfect 22-0 resolved record and strong positive P&L, making this a sharp-wallet copy-trade candidate.

  • This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved bets and is up $30.9K lifetime.
  • They bought Japan at 85¢ after a strong move, with the market up 38 points over the past week.
  • The $2K buy adds conviction on a market with only about $12K total volume.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

88% winner buying Yes

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Japan Yes in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $2.8M lifetime.
  • They are a proven serial sports trader across 960 markets with $7.2M traded.
  • The buy was larger than recent market activity, adding to a Yes move that is up 34 points this week.

$1,332 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $11,495 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xd844...da79 Yes, $10,800
  3. 0x3555...ba40 Yes, $5,061 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 No, $4,954 (54% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea No, $4,912 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x5213...6a35 No, $4,848 (83% win rate)
  7. 0x2a69...d2f7 No, $3,772
  8. 0xeaac...d71d No, $3,695 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x27f7...44b0 Yes, $3,277 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x4f29...7a7e No, $3,266 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

ResolvedJapan vs. Iceland$12,234 tracked5 signalsGamesSoccerSportsFifa Friendly
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If Japan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
74¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

28m ago

$2,785 on No at 57¢

57¢0¢57¢

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

1h ago

$5,000 on Yes at 77¢

77¢100¢23¢

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$1,116 on Yes at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

6h ago

$2,000 on Yes at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

17h ago

$1,332 on Yes at 81¢

81¢100¢19¢

Related Theses