This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263,742 lifetime. They put $28,100 on No at 73¢, a large confident bet that Uruguay vs. Spain will not end in a draw. This wallet is a proven serial sports trader across 143 events, and this market saw a 52.7x volume spike.

Part of: Uruguay vs. Spain

Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,221,393.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Five-wallet no-draw cluster

Five wallets clustered on No draw at 67–69¢, with profitable sports-heavy wallets and immediate price movement to 80¢ despite a liquid market.

Five wallets put $17.4K on the match not ending in a draw.
Several bettors have long profitable records, including wallets up $316K and $180K lifetime.
They entered around 67–69¢ and No has already moved to 80¢.

$17,367 on No

97% winner joins draw cluster

A highly profitable 97% bettor joined a five-wallet push into Yes, with the draw price already moving up 8 points.

A bettor who wins 97% of resolved bets is buying Yes and is up $66.6K lifetime.
Five wallets put $10.7K on the draw, all in the same direction.
The draw price has already moved from 22¢ to 30¢ in the last day.

$7,058 on Yes

78% winner buys No

Sharp wallet with a 78% long-run win rate and $263k profit bought $28.1k of No, supported by serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263,742 lifetime.
They put $28,100 on No at 73¢, a large confident bet that Uruguay vs. Spain will not end in a draw.
This wallet is a proven serial sports trader across 143 events, and this market saw a 52.7x volume spike.

$28,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 75% record and $2.17M lifetime profit bought $43K of No despite a very liquid market.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.17M lifetime.
They placed a $43K bet on No, adding conviction in a highly liquid market.
This wallet has traded 843 markets across 610 events, with the same 75% hit rate.

$43,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Linked whale buying draw

A coordinated 4-wallet cluster, including a highly profitable new whale, bought $277k of Yes on the draw amid a major pre-game volume spike.

Four wallets are all betting the same way, putting $277k on the draw.
A 24-day-old repeat whale in the cluster is already up $4.1M across flagged positions.
Market volume is surging 118x above normal, and the draw price has moved up 5 points in the last day.

$277,212 on Yes

Profitable new whale No cluster

A highly profitable new whale and a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster drove a major pre-event move, though the best copy level is far below the current price.

This 24-day-old wallet is already up $4.1M and has triggered 54 large-bet alerts.
Five wallets bought No together, totaling about $241k in the same direction.
No was bought at 42¢ and now trades near 72¢, so this is only attractive if it pulls back near the whale’s entry.

$414,916 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 91% win-rate sports bettor bought No on the draw, with serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $97,912 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 45 events, with the same 91% hit rate.
Market volume spiked 246x before the match, while this sharp entered No at 73¢.

$1,585 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable new whale No cluster

A highly profitable new whale and a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster drove a major pre-event move, though the best copy level is far below the current price.

This 24-day-old wallet is already up $4.1M and has triggered 54 large-bet alerts.
Five wallets bought No together, totaling about $241k in the same direction.
No was bought at 42¢ and now trades near 72¢, so this is only attractive if it pulls back near the whale’s entry.

$397,718 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and $175k profit bought No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $175k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 105 events with the same 92% hit rate.
Bought No at 74¢ as volume spiked 106x before the match.

$1,615 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable cross-market sharp

A highly profitable 76% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought the draw while also positioning across related event markets.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.82M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 226 events, with $1.31M in similar event-level positioning.
This is part of a $30.5K thesis across 3 markets in the same match.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%