Part of: US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $613,343.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

22-wallet cluster backed Tommy Paul

A heavily funded 22-wallet cluster committed $556,527 to Tommy Paul, including a wallet with an exceptional but small-sample track record, though the market now appears settled at 100%.

  • Twenty-two linked wallets put $556,527 behind Tommy Paul, a substantial coordinated position.
  • The largest participant has won all 8 recorded resolved bets and shows $2.36M in historical profit, though the sample is small.
  • Tommy Paul is now priced at 100%, so this alert reflects a past entry rather than a practical current trade.

$556,527 on Tommy Paul

Sharp bettor leads 25-wallet Bublik cluster

A proven high-volume bettor and 25-wallet linked cluster made a concentrated 39¢ bet on Alexander Bublik, making this a notable coordinated thesis despite the subsequent price collapse.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 118 resolved trades and is up $818,640 lifetime.
  • Twenty-five linked wallets bought Alexander Bublik, committing $135,784 to the same side.
  • The lead wallet bought $33,048 at 39¢ after previously investing $200,000 in Bublik positions.

$33,048 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 86%

25-wallet Bublik buying cluster

A 25-wallet, partially linked cluster committed $135,784 to Bublik, making this a notable coordinated thesis despite the new wallet's limited track record and the position now being closed.

  • Twenty-five wallets bought Alexander Bublik for a combined $135,784, including three linked by a shared funder.
  • This wallet was only 16 hours old and had already repeated large bets totaling $9,161.
  • The position was entered at 45¢ but is now closed with Bublik at 0%, so the trade is notable to study rather than blindly copy.

$3,585 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 0%

Serial trader buys Bublik into volume surge

A highly active and profitable trader bought Bublik amid an extreme 1,587x pre-event volume spike, though the trader’s modest edge makes this a watchlist-level rather than exceptional signal.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 51,471 resolved trades and is up $47.3M lifetime.
  • The $1,136 Bublik purchase came during a 1,587x spike versus typical market activity.
  • The trader recently closed a Tommy Paul position, suggesting a fresh rotation toward Bublik at 39¢.

$4,830 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 65%

Serial trader buys Bublik into volume surge

A highly active and profitable trader bought Bublik amid an extreme 1,587x pre-event volume spike, though the trader’s modest edge makes this a watchlist-level rather than exceptional signal.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 51,471 resolved trades and is up $47.3M lifetime.
  • The $1,136 Bublik purchase came during a 1,587x spike versus typical market activity.
  • The trader recently closed a Tommy Paul position, suggesting a fresh rotation toward Bublik at 39¢.

$1,136 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 65%

83% win-rate serial bettor adds

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Bublik position at 39%.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 614 resolved trades and is up $223,425 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 170 events and is adding $2,000 to an existing Bublik position at 39%.
  • Bublik at 39¢ implies roughly a 2.6x payout if the upset succeeds.

$2,000 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 85%

87% win-rate serial bettor

A highly experienced bettor with an 87% win rate and nearly $10M in profits is taking a fresh position on Tommy Paul at 61%.

  • This bettor wins 87% of trades across 586 resolved positions and is up nearly $10 million.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,006 markets and 925 events, showing a deeply established record rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $1,049 position backs Tommy Paul at 61%, below the market's current 62% implied probability.

$1,049 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 88%

83% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge bought Bublik at 39%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 229 resolved positions and is up $276,790 lifetime.
  • They typically win after entering around 38% odds, indicating a meaningful edge over the market price.
  • The wallet bought $1,170 of Alexander Bublik at 39% in a liquid market, signaling fresh conviction.

$1,170 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 84%

98% winner scaling into Tommy Paul

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $10,000 to an existing Tommy Paul position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 128 of 131 trades and earned $113,764 on $1.38 million invested.
  • They are adding $10,000 to an existing Tommy Paul position at 63¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • The bet represents nearly 7,000% of the detected 24-hour volume, making the move unusually influential in this relatively thin market.

$10,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 36758238, $274,381 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 36758238, $200,000 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xef1b...8697 Outcome 36758238, $40,723 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 36758238, $33,000 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x4337...8882 Outcome 36758238, $22,461 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xf83b...44a2 Outcome 36758238, $15,385 (87% win rate)
  7. 0xfbf3...b218 Outcome 36758238, $11,003 (46% win rate)
  8. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 36758238, $10,844 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x464f...01b7 Outcome 36758238, $10,010
  10. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 36758238, $6,834

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US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul$613,343 tracked9 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Tommy Paul
80¢
70¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

6d ago

$556,527 on Tommy Paul at 62¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

6d ago

$33,048 on Alexander Bublik at 39¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

6d ago

$3,585 on Alexander Bublik at 45¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

7d ago

$4,830 on Alexander Bublik at 39¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

7d ago

$1,136 on Alexander Bublik at 39¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

7d ago

$2,000 on Alexander Bublik at 39¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

7d ago

$1,049 on Tommy Paul at 61¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

7d ago

$1,170 on Alexander Bublik at 39¢

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

8d ago

$10,000 on Tommy Paul at 63¢

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