Part of: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,458.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
77% winner flipped sides
Sharp 77% winner with +$158k P&L flipped into Astros at 51¢ before the market moved to 100%, making it a strong follow/study signal but no longer copyable at current odds.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $158k lifetime.
- They closed a Blue Jays position, then bought $3k of Astros at 51¢.
- The market moved to 100% Astros after a 39-point price jump, so the original edge is likely gone now.
$3,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Houston at 84¢ before a major move to 100¢, with supporting price impact and volume spike signals.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 11,259 resolved bets and $3.34M in lifetime profit.
- They bought Houston at 84¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- The market saw a 19x volume spike and a 39-point move in Houston’s favor.
$1,123 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 66%
Serial sports trader caught move
A very active sports trader sold Toronto at 54¢ ahead of a rapid move to 0¢, effectively buying Houston at 46¢, but their lifetime P&L is negative so this is more momentum-driven than a proven-sharp wallet.
- This was effectively a Houston buy at 46¢ before Houston moved to 100¢.
- The bettor has huge activity across 261 events with a 64% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- Toronto dropped 20 points in about 4 minutes during a 19x volume spike.
$2,805 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp wallets fading Toronto
A profitable sharp wallet and two other wallets all exited Toronto as the price fell sharply, creating a copyable Astros-side signal despite some likely position-closing.
- The strongest wallet wins 77% of its bets and is up $158K lifetime.
- Three wallets all sold Toronto, helping push its price down about 19 percentage points.
- This is partly exiting prior Toronto positions, but the combined move points toward Houston at roughly even odds.
$6,621 on Houston Astros
Serial sports bettor caught move
Serial sports cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate bought Toronto cheaply before a major move from 22¢ to 56¢, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 88 markets and has bet nearly $1M across similar event markets.
- They built a Toronto position at 22¢ before the market moved to 56¢.
- The same wallet is active across 3 markets in this event, suggesting a broader game-level thesis.
$1,540 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp cluster on favorite
High-conviction Astros flow from 8 wallets, including a proven profitable 77% bettor, moved the market sharply from near coin-flip to 92%.
- 8 wallets put $24.8K on the Astros in the same direction, pushing the price up 47.5% in a day.
- One key bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $158.8K lifetime.
- Several high-volume sports traders joined the same side, including wallets with millions in prior market activity.
$24,848 on Houston Astros
Serial cross-market momentum
High-composite alert driven by a very active cross-market sports trader catching a 47¢ to 54¢ move amid a sharp pre-game volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- This very active bettor has traded 437 related markets across 247 events and wins 72% of resolved bets.
- They bought Houston at 47¢ before the market moved to 54¢, suggesting they caught the right side of recent price action.
- Pre-game volume spiked 142x versus normal activity, supporting the idea that new information may be moving the line.
$2,115 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable bettors cluster on underdog
Three wallets bought the Blue Jays together during a major pre-game volume spike, including two profitable high-volume bettors, though the price has since moved against their entries.
- Three wallets bought $8.2k of Blue Jays in the same direction during a 20.5x pre-game volume spike.
- Two participating bettors are profitable long-term, including one up $301.8k across 2,783 resolved bets.
- Entry around 42¢ backs the underdog, and the current 38¢ price is cheaper than the cluster paid.
$18,010 on Toronto Blue Jays
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 75% resolved win rate and $163k lifetime profit bought Astros amid a large pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $163k lifetime.
- They have traded across 77 events with $414k in cross-market activity, suggesting a repeat sports edge.
- Bought Astros at 47¢ as market volume spiked 24.8x before the game.
$4,500 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 78%
90% winner buying underdog
Elite MLB/sports bettor with a 90% historical win rate and nearly $3M profit is buying Houston at 45¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- They have a massive cross-market track record: 774 events and over $5.4M traded.
- Entry at 45¢ on Houston implies they see value in the underdog despite a liquid market.
$4,896 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xb45a...192c — Outcome 46186839, $36,366 (47% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 46186839, $14,402 (71% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 25606584, $12,334 (54% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 46186839, $4,423 (59% win rate)
- 0xebe6...9278 — Outcome 46186839, $3,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 46186839, $2,707 (94% win rate)
- 0x816b...d69d — Outcome 46186839, $2,147 (70% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 46186839, $2,134 (52% win rate)
- 0x1af3...b3b4 — Outcome 46186839, $2,050 (77% win rate)
- 0x815f...1eef — Outcome 46186839, $1,778 (86% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
Covers 9 related markets
Spurs win by three
Covers 14 related markets
Knicks edge Spurs in shootout
Covers 14 related markets
Spain routs in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
England rout Ghana in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
South Africa-Korea market mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Ecuador-Germany won't draw
Covers 3 related markets
Netherlands rout Tunisia early
Covers 9 related markets
France beats Norway
Covers 3 related markets
France wins high-scoring showdown
Covers 7 related markets
