Part of: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,458.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

77% winner flipped sides

Sharp 77% winner with +$158k P&L flipped into Astros at 51¢ before the market moved to 100%, making it a strong follow/study signal but no longer copyable at current odds.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $158k lifetime.
  • They closed a Blue Jays position, then bought $3k of Astros at 51¢.
  • The market moved to 100% Astros after a 39-point price jump, so the original edge is likely gone now.

$3,000 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Houston at 84¢ before a major move to 100¢, with supporting price impact and volume spike signals.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 11,259 resolved bets and $3.34M in lifetime profit.
  • They bought Houston at 84¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • The market saw a 19x volume spike and a 39-point move in Houston’s favor.

$1,123 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial sports trader caught move

A very active sports trader sold Toronto at 54¢ ahead of a rapid move to 0¢, effectively buying Houston at 46¢, but their lifetime P&L is negative so this is more momentum-driven than a proven-sharp wallet.

  • This was effectively a Houston buy at 46¢ before Houston moved to 100¢.
  • The bettor has huge activity across 261 events with a 64% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.
  • Toronto dropped 20 points in about 4 minutes during a 19x volume spike.

$2,805 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 65%

Sharp wallets fading Toronto

A profitable sharp wallet and two other wallets all exited Toronto as the price fell sharply, creating a copyable Astros-side signal despite some likely position-closing.

  • The strongest wallet wins 77% of its bets and is up $158K lifetime.
  • Three wallets all sold Toronto, helping push its price down about 19 percentage points.
  • This is partly exiting prior Toronto positions, but the combined move points toward Houston at roughly even odds.

$6,621 on Houston Astros

Serial sports bettor caught move

Serial sports cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate bought Toronto cheaply before a major move from 22¢ to 56¢, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 88 markets and has bet nearly $1M across similar event markets.
  • They built a Toronto position at 22¢ before the market moved to 56¢.
  • The same wallet is active across 3 markets in this event, suggesting a broader game-level thesis.

$1,540 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp cluster on favorite

High-conviction Astros flow from 8 wallets, including a proven profitable 77% bettor, moved the market sharply from near coin-flip to 92%.

  • 8 wallets put $24.8K on the Astros in the same direction, pushing the price up 47.5% in a day.
  • One key bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $158.8K lifetime.
  • Several high-volume sports traders joined the same side, including wallets with millions in prior market activity.

$24,848 on Houston Astros

Serial cross-market momentum

High-composite alert driven by a very active cross-market sports trader catching a 47¢ to 54¢ move amid a sharp pre-game volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This very active bettor has traded 437 related markets across 247 events and wins 72% of resolved bets.
  • They bought Houston at 47¢ before the market moved to 54¢, suggesting they caught the right side of recent price action.
  • Pre-game volume spiked 142x versus normal activity, supporting the idea that new information may be moving the line.

$2,115 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettors cluster on underdog

Three wallets bought the Blue Jays together during a major pre-game volume spike, including two profitable high-volume bettors, though the price has since moved against their entries.

  • Three wallets bought $8.2k of Blue Jays in the same direction during a 20.5x pre-game volume spike.
  • Two participating bettors are profitable long-term, including one up $301.8k across 2,783 resolved bets.
  • Entry around 42¢ backs the underdog, and the current 38¢ price is cheaper than the cluster paid.

$18,010 on Toronto Blue Jays

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 75% resolved win rate and $163k lifetime profit bought Astros amid a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $163k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 77 events with $414k in cross-market activity, suggesting a repeat sports edge.
  • Bought Astros at 47¢ as market volume spiked 24.8x before the game.

$4,500 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 78%

90% winner buying underdog

Elite MLB/sports bettor with a 90% historical win rate and nearly $3M profit is buying Houston at 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They have a massive cross-market track record: 774 events and over $5.4M traded.
  • Entry at 45¢ on Houston implies they see value in the underdog despite a liquid market.

$4,896 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb45a...192c Outcome 46186839, $36,366 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 46186839, $14,402 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 25606584, $12,334 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 46186839, $4,423 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xebe6...9278 Outcome 46186839, $3,000 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 46186839, $2,707 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x816b...d69d Outcome 46186839, $2,147 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 46186839, $2,134 (52% win rate)
  9. 0x1af3...b3b4 Outcome 46186839, $2,050 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x815f...1eef Outcome 46186839, $1,778 (86% win rate)

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Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

ResolvedHouston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays$69,458 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 23 at 4:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

HOU
9
38-43
Final
TOR
7
39-40
HOU +109TOR -132O/U 9
Venue
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Attendance
38,633
Price History — “Houston Astros
102¢
72¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$3,000 on Houston Astros at 51¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$1,123 on Houston Astros at 84¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$2,805 on Houston Astros at 46¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$6,621 on Houston Astros at 47¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$1,540 on Toronto Blue Jays at 22¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$24,848 on Houston Astros at 90¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$2,115 on Houston Astros at 47¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$18,010 on Toronto Blue Jays at 42¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$4,500 on Houston Astros at 47¢

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8d ago

$4,896 on Houston Astros at 45¢

Related Theses