Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

This prediction market asks whether Croatia will win its FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. PolySpotter is tracking $5,964 in smart money and 1 smart-money signal, with recent alerts pointing to sharp buying on NO. The market resolves after the match using official statistics, or resolves NO if the game is canceled with no make-up.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,052.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 81% win rate and $164k profit is buying Croatia Yes at 18¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $164,620 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 89 events with over $1.1M in tracked volume.
  • Entry at 18¢ implies a high-upside underdog position if their edge is right.

$6,438 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Elite sports sharp buying NO

Elite high-volume bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.24M lifetime profit is buying Croatia No at 82%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.24M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,307 markets with $10.5M total volume, showing a long and profitable track record.
  • Buying No at 82¢ implies they see Croatia failing to win as strongly underpriced.

$5,964 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Croatia Yes at 20¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $94k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 42 events with $1.3M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 20¢ implies they see Croatia as a much better chance than the market price.

$3,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Croatia Yes at 20¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $94k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 42 events with $1.3M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 20¢ implies they see Croatia as a much better chance than the market price.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 No, $145,824 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $75,248
  3. 0x2117...5c26 Yes, $67,168 (41% win rate)
  4. 0x85bb...9ada Yes, $55,556 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xbc1b...9d59 No, $40,379 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $24,194 (53% win rate)
  7. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $22,804 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x9703...69c2 No, $21,947
  9. 0xe907...cff6 Yes, $21,189 (46% win rate)
  10. 0xd331...733c Yes, $18,380 (68% win rate)

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Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

2hPortugal vs. Croatia$19,052 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Yes
18¢
No
82¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
84¢
81¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

8h ago

$6,438 on Yes at 18¢

18¢18¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

10h ago

$5,964 on No at 82¢

82¢82¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

17h ago

$3,150 on Yes at 20¢

20¢18¢2¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

3d ago

$3,500 on Yes at 20¢

20¢18¢2¢

Related Theses