42 wallets bought the same side, with $325K flowing into No and 7 wallets linked by funding. The move came with a 95x volume spike and pushed Croatia Yes down about 24 percentage points. This wallet is brand new but has already had $134K flagged across 7 large bets.

Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

26 smart money signals detected, totaling $911,649.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

50-wallet linked No surge

Massive linked-wallet No buying, sharp-wallet participation, and a 129x volume spike pushed Croatia No to 91%, making this a high-conviction flow alert.

50 wallets bought the same No outcome for $731K, with 10 linked to the same funder.
Several proven bettors joined, including one with 76% wins across 1,180 resolved positions.
The surge came with a 129x volume spike and moved No up about 33 percentage points.

$731,510 on No

87% sharp in 44-wallet flow

A highly profitable 87% win-rate sports bettor bought Croatia Yes alongside a large 44-wallet one-sided flow and major volume spike, despite the price moving against the position so far.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $70.9k lifetime.
44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $347k, with 7 wallets sharing a funder.
The market saw a 129x volume spike, and this entry at 14¢ implies a high-upside long-shot view.

$7,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp bettor in 44-wallet push

A proven 81% winner joined a large 44-wallet Yes-buying cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $150k lifetime.
44 wallets bought the same Yes side for roughly $347k, including linked wallets.
The entry was 50¢ but Yes is now around 9¢, so this is a sharp-money signal with major adverse movement.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp exits No with Yes cluster

Sharp 79% lifetime bettor closed a profitable No position in the Yes-equivalent direction while 44 wallets are also one-sided on Yes, making the flow worth surfacing despite the trade resembling profit-taking.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $184k lifetime.
44 wallets are betting the same way, with $347k flowing toward the Yes side.
Selling No at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 15¢, a contrarian price versus the current 9¢ market.

$1,621 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

42-wallet No wave

A major coordinated move against Croatia hit the market, with 42 wallets buying No, a 95x volume spike, and a sharp price collapse in Yes, though this specific wallet may have been closing a prior Yes position.

42 wallets bought the same side, with $325K flowing into No and 7 wallets linked by funding.
The move came with a 95x volume spike and pushed Croatia Yes down about 24 percentage points.
This wallet is brand new but has already had $134K flagged across 7 large bets.

$26,904 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

93% winner joins No wave

A 93% winning wallet sold Yes as part of a large coordinated No move, with 42 wallets pushing the market sharply toward Croatia not winning.

This bettor has won 27 of 29 resolved trades and is up $9.4K lifetime.
42 wallets are all betting the same way, with $325K flowing into No.
The market moved hard after the flow, with Croatia Yes falling from about 48¢ to 13¢.

$5,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

42-wallet No wave

Strong one-sided No flow from 42 wallets, including a profitable new wallet whose equivalent No entry at 52¢ has already moved sharply to 87¢.

42 wallets backed the same No side with $325k, including 7 linked wallets.
This new wallet is already up $5.7k and has won all 4 resolved bets so far.
The trade sold Yes at 48¢, equivalent to buying No at 52¢, before No moved to 87¢.

$2,909 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

73% winning serial bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a 73% record and +$91k P&L put $26.7k on Croatia not winning amid a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 55 resolved trades and is up $91k lifetime.
They put $26.7k on No at 83¢, showing strong conviction despite a highly liquid market.
This wallet has traded across 38 events, and this market is seeing a 16.9x volume spike.

$26,720 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

New profitable wallet on underdog

Very new wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets is taking a $5k position on Croatia Yes at 17¢.

This wallet is less than 1 day old but is already up $10,971 on 2 resolved bets.
It has now made 11 flagged large bets totaling $35,850, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
Entry at 17¢ gives a high-upside underdog position if this bettor’s early edge continues.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable whales backing underdog

Three large, profitable sports bettors are clustered on the same Croatia Yes position, including one wallet up $16.6M lifetime, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.

Three long-term profitable bettors bought Croatia Yes, including one wallet up $16.6M lifetime.
They put $9.2K on a 13–15¢ underdog despite Croatia drifting 5.9% today.
One serial cross-market bettor has traded 193 events with a 58% win rate.

$9,155 on Yes

Top Holders

0x8d4d...8b35 — Outcome 87174293, $1,228,626 (74% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 36533706, $1,005,692
0xbea1...dad3 — Outcome 87174293, $263,660 (100% win rate)
0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 87174293, $129,958 (65% win rate)
0xd49f...4507 — Outcome 87174293, $90,187 (74% win rate)
0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 87174293, $55,556 (88% win rate)
0x8d06...f79d — Outcome 87174293, $51,852 (87% win rate)
0x2b03...2c36 — Outcome 87174293, $34,875 (89% win rate)
0x4723...b601 — Outcome 87174293, $31,842 (88% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 87174293, $30,000 (85% win rate)

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Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

ResolvedPortugal vs. Croatia$911,649 tracked26 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.