Part of: Bucks vs. Wizards

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wizards" if the Wizards win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,076.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Proven bettor adds to Bucks position

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added $13.3K to an already substantial Bucks position amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $7.39M across 686 resolved bets and has a 70% win rate.
  • They added $13.3K to Bucks after already investing $124K in the same position.
  • Market activity spiked 163.5× above its historical average before the game.

$13,298 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 71%

New wallet scaling into Wizards

A repeat new wallet is adding to an existing Wizards position amid a reported 163.5x pre-event volume spike, though its one resolved win is too small a sample to establish a track record.

  • The wallet added $1,343 to an existing Wizards position already worth about $3,958.
  • The market saw a reported 163.5x pre-event volume spike versus its historical average.
  • The wallet is only 10 days old and has 7 flagged positions; its 100% record is based on just one resolved bet.

$1,343 on Wizards | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial trader adds to Bucks

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 686 resolved bets is adding $49,135 to an existing large Bucks position.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 686 resolved bets and is up $7.39M lifetime.
  • They added $49,135 to an existing $124,183 Bucks position at about 50¢.
  • A 121× pre-event volume spike accompanied the bets, though the market remains near 50/50.

$49,135 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 71%

Proven 89% winner backs Bucks

A highly profitable bettor with thousands of resolved positions is buying Bucks at 49¢, supported by a record of repeated cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 3,346 resolved positions and is up over $6.3 million.
  • They’re buying Bucks at 49¢, slightly below the current 48% market odds implied for Bucks.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,649 events, showing an extensive history of market activity.

$1,300 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc807...c12b — Bucks, $124,183 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xf031...c80c — Bucks, $71,027 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x191f...4a8d — Bucks, $5,000 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x33bc...37dc — Bucks, $4,000 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x27f7...44b0 — Bucks, $2,653 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x7609...6c4e — Bucks, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  7. 0xa928...9575 — Bucks, $1,961 (69% win rate)
  8. 0xd48a...6e90 — Bucks, $1,923 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x021c...232f — Bucks, $1,100 (98% win rate)
  10. 0xd304...3ed2 — Bucks, $800

Related Theses

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Chargers keep pace in shootout

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Cardinals cover in high-scoring game

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Texans beat the Colts

Covers 3 related markets

Rams win by at least four

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Pacers edge Bucks in low-scoring game

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Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

Bucks vs. Wizards$65,076 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Wizards
100¢
Bucks
0¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wizards" if the Wizards win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIL
116
0-1
Final
Capital One Arena
WAS
128
1-0
Draft Kings
Spread: WSH -4.5O/U: 239.5ML: +145/-175
Win Prob
—
Poly: 100¢
Last Play
—

Notable Trades

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

2026-10-21 21:15 UTC

$13,298 on Bucks at 51¢

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

2026-10-21 21:09 UTC

$1,343 on Wizards at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

2026-10-21 20:56 UTC

$49,135 on Bucks at 50¢

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

2026-10-21 18:30 UTC

$1,300 on Bucks at 49¢

Related Theses