Part of: New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,053.

Notable Trades

Serial sharp scaling into Yes

A serial cross-market bettor with 462 resolved trades and a 75% win rate is adding to an existing Yes position amid a dramatic 47-point repricing.

This bettor has won 75% of 462 resolved trades across 71 events and is up $17,640.
They are adding to an existing Yes position at 90¢ after the market surged roughly 47 percentage points.
The trade is near the current 92¢ price, suggesting continued confidence rather than a cheap entry.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Five-wallet No cluster during volume surge

Five wallets added $11.8K to No at the same price amid a 77x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated directional signal despite limited proven edge.

Five wallets bought No at 61¢, committing $11,760 in coordinated one-sided flow.
The market saw a 77x spike versus its normal 24-hour activity, suggesting unusually strong interest before the match.
Several wallets were already holding No, so this is increased conviction rather than entirely new positioning; the strongest profitable wallet is up $34,130 with a 66% win rate.

$6,753 on No

Top Holders

0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 42100724, $91,522 (73% win rate)
0x6f0e...2ee5 — Outcome 42100724, $63,353 (91% win rate)
0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 42100724, $25,000 (93% win rate)
0xcdc1...bdd8 — Outcome 42100724, $16,667 (98% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 42100724, $16,411 (56% win rate)
0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 42100724, $14,987 (66% win rate)
0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 42100724, $14,170 (65% win rate)
0x224f...514a — Outcome 42100724, $12,300 (84% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 42100724, $10,000 (92% win rate)
0xc291...5d74 — Outcome 42100724, $8,795 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Palmeiras will win on August 12

Covers 1 related market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?

ResolvedNew York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC$8,053 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 25, 2026 If New York City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.