Part of: National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakina
This Polymarket prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Ann Li and Elena Rybakina, scheduled for August 7, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with the market’s specified fallback resolution applying if the match is canceled, tied, or remains undecided for more than seven days; PolySpotter tracks $4,100 in smart money across two signals.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,500.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor exits Ann Li
A proven 85% winner with substantial edge exited Ann Li at 21¢, implying a buy on Elena Rybakina at 79¢, though the trade appears to be profit-taking from an existing position.
- This bettor has won 85% of 209 resolved positions and is up $466,877 lifetime.
- Selling Ann Li at 21¢ is equivalent to buying Elena Rybakina at 79¢, despite her already-implied 88% win probability.
- The wallet had a substantial prior Ann Li position, so this may be disciplined profit-taking rather than a fresh directional bet.
$2,100 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 84%
95% winner adds to Rybakina
A highly successful bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge added $2,000 to Elena Rybakina despite the market price falling sharply.
- This bettor wins 90 of 95 resolved positions and is up $32,690 lifetime.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Elena Rybakina position at 88¢, signaling continued conviction despite a 17-point price drop.
- The market is liquid, but the trader’s documented 32-point edge over average implied odds makes this position worth following.
$2,000 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 95%
97% winner adds to Rybakina
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $9,000 to an existing Elena Rybakina position at 85%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 319 resolved trades and is up $257,498.
- They are adding $9,000 to an existing Rybakina position, bringing their investment in the outcome above $19,000.
- The entry at 85¢ implies strong confidence, with the market currently pricing Rybakina around 84%.
$5,500 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner adds to Rybakina
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $9,000 to an existing Elena Rybakina position at 85%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 319 resolved trades and is up $257,498.
- They are adding $9,000 to an existing Rybakina position, bringing their investment in the outcome above $19,000.
- The entry at 85¢ implies strong confidence, with the market currently pricing Rybakina around 84%.
$9,000 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 97%
95% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge placed an $11,900 bet on Elena Rybakina.
- This bettor wins 95% of 168 resolved positions and is up $1.56 million.
- They placed $11,900 on Elena Rybakina, a concentrated position exceeding the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 267 markets and 212 events, indicating an established and repeatable betting pattern.
$11,900 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 25019530, $73,390 (84% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 25019530, $27,770 (72% win rate)
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 25019530, $7,870 (65% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Outcome 25019530, $5,500 (49% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 25019530, $5,333 (82% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 25019530, $3,482 (74% win rate)
- 0x6a00...9158 — Outcome 25019530, $3,333
- 0x4301...ac39 — Outcome 25019530, $2,922 (56% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 25019530, $2,895 (74% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 25019530, $2,500 (36% win rate)
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