Part of: FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

This prediction market covers whether FC Bayern München will beat 1. FC Köln by 3 or more goals in their Bundesliga match scheduled for May 16 at 9:30 AM ET. If Bayern win by 3+ goals, the market resolves to “FC Bayern München”; any smaller Bayern win, draw, or Köln win resolves to “1. FC Köln.” PolySpotter tracks $1,500 in smart money and 1 signal on this market, with settlement based on the official final score from bundesliga.com.

In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 16 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Köln". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,869.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

93% winner taking underdog spread

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% record is taking the Köln +2.5 side at 49¢ in a liquid Bayern spread market.

  • This bettor has won 92 of 99 resolved positions and is up about $60k lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is around 50¢, so this 49¢ Köln spread bet fits their proven sweet spot.
  • They are backing Köln +2.5 despite Bayern-side momentum, suggesting a contrarian view from a strong track record.

$1,267 on 1. FC Köln | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor put $32.6k into a Bayern blowout/high-scoring thesis, including a large $16k buy on Bayern -2.5 at 51¢.

  • This bettor has 108 resolved trades, wins 57%, and is up about $61k lifetime.
  • They put $32.6k into a connected Bayern blowout thesis, buying both Bayern -2.5 and Over.
  • The Bayern spread entry at 51¢ follows a 9.5-point one-day move, suggesting momentum behind the position.

$32,602 on FC Bayern München | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a91...c6b1 FC Bayern München, $31,923 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x7236...ea53 1. FC Köln, $6,400 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x374a...03ed 1. FC Köln, $4,800 (96% win rate)
  4. 0xe1a6...d584 1. FC Köln, $2,800 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x89bd...3f72 1. FC Köln, $2,585 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x70d8...a237 FC Bayern München, $2,500 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xfb13...5946 1. FC Köln, $2,400 (95% win rate)
  8. 0xca89...7bc4 1. FC Köln, $2,000 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x3388...61d7 1. FC Köln, $1,600
  10. 0x288a...0048 1. FC Köln, $1,600

Related Theses

Bayern routs Köln big

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Mainz Union goals flow over

Covers 1 related market

Mainz will win today

Covers 1 related market

Leverkusen will win May 16

Covers 1 related market

Union Augsburg tops 2.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Celta Vigo will win

Covers 1 related market

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

8hFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets$33,869 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga
FC Bayern München
52¢
1. FC Köln
49¢

In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 16 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Köln". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “FC Bayern München
53¢
41¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

4d ago

$1,267 on 1. FC Köln at 49¢

49¢49¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

4d ago

$32,602 on FC Bayern München at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Related Theses