Part of: Canada vs. Morocco

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

29 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,104,393.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

14-wallet NO cluster

Surface due to a strong 14-wallet one-sided cluster buying No, despite this specific wallet having a poor long-term record.

  • 14 wallets bought the same side, putting $117,650 behind No in the scan window.
  • This wallet entered around 71¢, and No has already moved to 76¢.
  • The signal is the coordinated flow, not this wallet’s track record, which is weak.

$4,912 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

73% serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record is backing Canada not to win amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades across 190 bets and is up $4.8k lifetime.
  • They have traded 39 related events for $165k total, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
  • Market volume is spiking 52x above normal, and this wallet put $8.2k on Canada not winning.

$8,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Perfect-record bettor on No

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 92-0 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L and bought $4.1k of No despite otherwise modest alert signals.

  • This bettor has won 100% of 92 resolved trades and is up $32,465 lifetime.
  • They bought $4,100 of No at 82¢, backing Canada not to win in regulation.
  • The market is highly liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s unusually strong track record.

$4,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

91% winner buying No

Highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate is buying Canada No, backed by serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 91% win rate.
  • They bought No as the market moved from 71¢ to 82¢ amid a 130x volume spike.

$4,178 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite bettor buys No

Elite profitable bettor with an 88% record and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Canada No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,338 markets with the same 88% hit rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 129.7x above its historical average.

$2,671 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable new whale on No

A repeat new-wallet whale put nearly $500k on No at 84¢, with early profitable history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.

  • A new wallet with early success is adding a huge $500k position after making $511k on 2 resolved bets.
  • This is the wallet’s fifth large-bet flag, suggesting repeated high-conviction sizing rather than a one-off wager.
  • Market volume is surging at 291x its historical average, and this bet is aligned with the dominant 84¢ No side.

$981,459 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp 88% winner buys No

Sharp wallet with an 88% historical win rate and strong profit is buying No on a high-volume Canada match market amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $14.4K lifetime.
  • They are buying No at 83¢, backing Canada not to win in regulation.
  • Market volume is surging 158x above normal before the game.

$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Repeat new whale backing No

A repeat new-wallet whale with early six-figure profits placed a $290k bet on No shortly before the Canada match, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet has already been flagged 8 times, with nearly $982k in notable bets.
  • The bettor is up $511k on 2 resolved trades so far, despite the short track record.
  • They put $290k on No at 83¢ about an hour before the scheduled game start.

$290,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

90% winner buying favorite

Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Canada No despite this being a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $11.3K lifetime.
  • They put $4.2K on No at 83¢, adding a copyable sports position from a proven wallet.
  • Market volume is surging at 46.7x its historical pace, supporting the timing of the trade.

$4,168 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable new whale on No

A repeat new-wallet whale put nearly $500k on No at 84¢, with early profitable history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.

  • A new wallet with early success is adding a huge $500k position after making $511k on 2 resolved bets.
  • This is the wallet’s fifth large-bet flag, suggesting repeated high-conviction sizing rather than a one-off wager.
  • Market volume is surging at 291x its historical average, and this bet is aligned with the dominant 84¢ No side.

$399,999 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 11263816, $1,715,367
  2. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 39829420, $140,741 (87% win rate)
  3. 0xb225...3d54 Outcome 39829420, $65,000 (89% win rate)
  4. 0xfed3...b903 Outcome 39829420, $50,294
  5. 0xb715...c3bb Outcome 39829420, $27,778 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x49d6...ea7b Outcome 39829420, $19,208 (25% win rate)
  7. 0x3763...345f Outcome 39829420, $18,583 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x80ba...2e78 Outcome 39829420, $18,497 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x10a6...4d8b Outcome 39829420, $17,373 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xe2fe...a599 Outcome 39829420, $15,038 (100% win rate)

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Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

ResolvedCanada vs. Morocco$5,104,393 tracked29 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 4, 2026 If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$4,912 on No at 71¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$8,200 on No at 82¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$4,100 on No at 82¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$4,178 on No at 78¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$2,671 on No at 82¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$981,459 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$1,095 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$290,000 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$4,168 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$399,999 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$699,999 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$431,455 on Yes at 17¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$799,999 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$2,287 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$500,000 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$13,919 on Yes at 27¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$861,775 on Yes at 16¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$1,700 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$7,985 on No at 80¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$2,706 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$5,880 on No at 84¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

13d ago

$3,159 on Yes at 17¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

14d ago

$8,300 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

14d ago

$1,500 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

14d ago

$2,341 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

14d ago

$2,359 on No at 83¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

14d ago

$6,969 on No at 80¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

14d ago

$41,277 on No at 80¢

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

17d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 20¢

Related Theses