Part of: Canada vs. Morocco
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
29 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,104,393.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
14-wallet NO cluster
Surface due to a strong 14-wallet one-sided cluster buying No, despite this specific wallet having a poor long-term record.
- 14 wallets bought the same side, putting $117,650 behind No in the scan window.
- This wallet entered around 71¢, and No has already moved to 76¢.
- The signal is the coordinated flow, not this wallet’s track record, which is weak.
$4,912 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
73% serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record is backing Canada not to win amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades across 190 bets and is up $4.8k lifetime.
- They have traded 39 related events for $165k total, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
- Market volume is spiking 52x above normal, and this wallet put $8.2k on Canada not winning.
$8,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Perfect-record bettor on No
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 92-0 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L and bought $4.1k of No despite otherwise modest alert signals.
- This bettor has won 100% of 92 resolved trades and is up $32,465 lifetime.
- They bought $4,100 of No at 82¢, backing Canada not to win in regulation.
- The market is highly liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s unusually strong track record.
$4,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner buying No
Highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate is buying Canada No, backed by serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 91% win rate.
- They bought No as the market moved from 71¢ to 82¢ amid a 130x volume spike.
$4,178 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Elite bettor buys No
Elite profitable bettor with an 88% record and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Canada No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,338 markets with the same 88% hit rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 129.7x above its historical average.
$2,671 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable new whale on No
A repeat new-wallet whale put nearly $500k on No at 84¢, with early profitable history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- A new wallet with early success is adding a huge $500k position after making $511k on 2 resolved bets.
- This is the wallet’s fifth large-bet flag, suggesting repeated high-conviction sizing rather than a one-off wager.
- Market volume is surging at 291x its historical average, and this bet is aligned with the dominant 84¢ No side.
$981,459 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp 88% winner buys No
Sharp wallet with an 88% historical win rate and strong profit is buying No on a high-volume Canada match market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $14.4K lifetime.
- They are buying No at 83¢, backing Canada not to win in regulation.
- Market volume is surging 158x above normal before the game.
$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Repeat new whale backing No
A repeat new-wallet whale with early six-figure profits placed a $290k bet on No shortly before the Canada match, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 8 times, with nearly $982k in notable bets.
- The bettor is up $511k on 2 resolved trades so far, despite the short track record.
- They put $290k on No at 83¢ about an hour before the scheduled game start.
$290,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
90% winner buying favorite
Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Canada No despite this being a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $11.3K lifetime.
- They put $4.2K on No at 83¢, adding a copyable sports position from a proven wallet.
- Market volume is surging at 46.7x its historical pace, supporting the timing of the trade.
$4,168 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable new whale on No
A repeat new-wallet whale put nearly $500k on No at 84¢, with early profitable history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- A new wallet with early success is adding a huge $500k position after making $511k on 2 resolved bets.
- This is the wallet’s fifth large-bet flag, suggesting repeated high-conviction sizing rather than a one-off wager.
- Market volume is surging at 291x its historical average, and this bet is aligned with the dominant 84¢ No side.
$399,999 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11263816, $1,715,367
- 0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 39829420, $140,741 (87% win rate)
- 0xb225...3d54 — Outcome 39829420, $65,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xfed3...b903 — Outcome 39829420, $50,294
- 0xb715...c3bb — Outcome 39829420, $27,778 (100% win rate)
- 0x49d6...ea7b — Outcome 39829420, $19,208 (25% win rate)
- 0x3763...345f — Outcome 39829420, $18,583 (62% win rate)
- 0x80ba...2e78 — Outcome 39829420, $18,497 (61% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 39829420, $17,373 (72% win rate)
- 0xe2fe...a599 — Outcome 39829420, $15,038 (100% win rate)
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