Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $170,096.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Reds conviction cluster

Five wallets coordinated $36.4K into Cincinnati while this profitable trader added to an existing Reds position at 35¢ before the price surged to 88¢.

Five wallets bought Cincinnati for a combined $36,404, while volume ran 88.8 times its historical average.
This trader added $2,237 at 35¢ to an existing Reds position; the outcome now trades around 88¢ after a 51-point move.
The wallet has made $1.72M across more than 13,000 resolved bets, though its 61% win rate is not by itself a strong edge signal.

$2,237 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable bettor adds to Reds position

A highly profitable serial trader added to a large Reds position amid coordinated buying, an extreme volume spike, and a sharp price move.

This bettor is up $2.3M across 5,164 resolved trades and wins 64% of them while typically entering around 54¢.
Five wallets bought Cincinnati for $36,404 as volume surged 88.8 times its historical average and the price jumped roughly 51%.
The trader added at 62¢ to an existing $154,060 Reds position, showing increased conviction before the market reached 88%.

$1,380 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial bettor backs Athletics

A highly experienced bettor with a 64% win rate and $2.3M profit made a concentrated Athletics bet amid a 47.9x volume spike, though the existing Reds position suggests possible hedging.

This bettor wins 64% of 5,164 resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They placed about $28,900 on Athletics at an average 61¢ during a 47.9x market-volume spike.
The existing $138,763 Reds position means this may be a hedge rather than a pure Athletics conviction bet.

$41,984 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial bettor backs Athletics

A highly experienced bettor with a 64% win rate and $2.3M profit made a concentrated Athletics bet amid a 47.9x volume spike, though the existing Reds position suggests possible hedging.

This bettor wins 64% of 5,164 resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They placed about $28,900 on Athletics at an average 61¢ during a 47.9x market-volume spike.
The existing $138,763 Reds position means this may be a hedge rather than a pure Athletics conviction bet.

$31,584 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 65%

Funded cluster buying Athletics

Three wallets, including two linked by a funder, jointly placed $21,370 on Athletics during a 186x volume spike, making this a notable coordinated sports-market position despite mixed historical edge.

Three wallets placed $21,370 on Athletics at 44–45¢, including two linked by a common funder.
The trades arrived during a 186x surge over the market’s historical trading pace.
The market has since moved to 40¢, giving the coordinated position a more favorable potential entry than the original trades.

$12,788 on Athletics

97% winner scaling into Reds

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is adding to an existing Cincinnati Reds position.

This bettor has won 97% of 784 resolved positions and is up $161,491 lifetime.
The wallet has traded across 82 events and 93 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
They are adding $1,500 to an existing Reds position at 55¢, despite the market being liquid and tightly priced.

$1,500 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 97%

Four-wallet Reds accumulation

Four wallets concentrated $30,019 into Cincinnati at 35–44¢ during a 47.9x volume spike, including two highly profitable long-term traders.

Four wallets committed $30,019 to Cincinnati, with entries as low as 35¢ while the market now prices them near 46¢.
Two participants have strong long-term records: 61% wins with $1.72M profit and 60% wins with $1.40M profit.
The trades arrived during a 47.9x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated interest despite a liquid market.

$28,119 on Cincinnati Reds

Sharp bettor scaling with seven-wallet cluster

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to a large Cincinnati Reds position alongside six linked wallets.

This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved trades and is up $7,073 on $55,465 invested.
Seven wallets sharing a funder have committed $6,936 to Cincinnati, reinforcing the directional conviction.
The wallet is adding to an existing $12,386 Reds position at 56¢ rather than merely taking profits.

$6,936 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 98%

93% win-rate bettor adds to Reds

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $43.6K to an existing Cincinnati Reds position at 55¢ in a thin market.

This bettor has won 93% of 383 resolved positions and earned $2.66M in reported P&L.
The $43,568 addition is more than 10 times the flagged 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in Cincinnati.
The wallet is scaling an existing Reds position at 55¢ while the market is priced around 56%, implying a meaningful edge at near-market entry.

$43,568 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 79186412, $52,024 (81% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 79186412, $20,000 (85% win rate)
0x161a...4103 — Outcome 79186412, $5,776 (95% win rate)
0x9015...281f — Outcome 79186412, $4,860 (78% win rate)
0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 79186412, $4,444 (95% win rate)
0x58b9...ee8b — Outcome 79186412, $4,000 (92% win rate)
0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 79186412, $2,909 (44% win rate)
0x4bb4...87b5 — Outcome 79186412, $2,329 (83% win rate)
0x74ab...ee2b — Outcome 79186412, $1,673 (90% win rate)
0x1713...1986 — Outcome 79186412, $1,111 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds

ResolvedAthletics vs. Cincinnati Reds$170,096 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 4 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ATH

45-68

Final

CIN

54-58

ATH +121CIN -129O/U 9

Venue

Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Attendance

21,714

Price History — “Cincinnati Reds”

102¢