Part of: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
This prediction market covers the June 10 MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $8,167 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including sharp interest on the underdog and notable buying on both Yankees and Cleveland outcomes. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with final resolution expected by June 17, 2026.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,244.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Cleveland, but the market has since moved sharply against the position, making this more of a track-record follow than a momentum signal.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 67% wins across 9,935 resolved bets and $3.28M lifetime profit.
- They have traded across 740 events and over $6.1M, suggesting this is a seasoned sports-market bettor.
- Cleveland has fallen from their 44¢ entry to 18¢, so the market is now offering a much cheaper price than they paid.
$1,735 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 67%
92% winner caught Yankees move
Elite MLB bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $2.58M profit bought Yankees before a sharp 66% to 82% move amid a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.58M lifetime.
- They bought Yankees at 66¢ before the market jumped to 82¢ within minutes.
- This wallet has traded 508 events and $6.35M across markets, showing a long repeatable sports pattern.
$4,495 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable sports grinder
A very high-volume profitable sports trader bought Cleveland, but the stake is modest and the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is up $3.8M lifetime across more than 44,000 resolved trades.
- They are a major repeat sports trader, active across 2,083 events and $13.4M in flagged cross-market volume.
- Cleveland has fallen from their 54¢ entry to 44¢, so the same side is now available cheaper than their fill.
$1,569 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 55%
1-day wallet up $34K
A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and a 7-0 resolved record bought $5.1K of Yankees while the price jumped sharply.
- This new bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved trades and is already up $33,952.
- They have now been flagged 17 times for large bets, totaling $82,007 in recent activity.
- Their Yankees buying came as the price jumped 22 percentage points in 4 minutes.
$5,113 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp 78% sports bettor
A proven sports bettor with a 78% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Cleveland, with supporting cross-market history and recent price movement.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $121,745 lifetime.
- They have traded across 76 events with the same 78% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 58¢ is close to the current market, so the copy window has not moved much.
$1,486 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp MLB bettor riding move
Sharp MLB bettor with a 79% long-run win rate and positive P&L bought Cleveland as the price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $44,081 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports market trader, with 30 event trades and a 79% hit rate across them.
- Cleveland moved up 24 points, and this bettor entered at 52¢ before the market reached 55¢.
$1,992 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader is taking a contrarian Cleveland position in a very liquid MLB market despite Yankees momentum.
- This bettor has won 62% of 7,065 resolved bets and is up about $980k lifetime.
- They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $2.1M placed across 349 events.
- Entry at 28¢ backs Cleveland as the underdog, implying a roughly 3.6x payout if it wins.
$1,525 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 62%
85% win-rate MLB bettor
A profitable 85% sports bettor bought Cleveland, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 85% of tracked bets and is up $2.6K lifetime.
- Their 13 resolved bets averaged 52¢ entries, meaning they have beaten fair odds by a wide margin.
- Cleveland was bought at 69¢, but the market has since fallen to 32¢.
$1,785 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 85%
86% sports sharp buying
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought Yankees amid a major price move and pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $26,926 lifetime.
- They have traded across 37 events, suggesting a repeat sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Yankees price is up 34 points with volume running 13.4x above normal.
$2,500 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable trio on underdog
Three profitable, high-volume bettors bought Cleveland together, including a 93% winner, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.
- Three profitable wallets all backed Cleveland, including one bettor who has won 26 of 28 resolved bets.
- Two of the wallets are major serial traders with over $6M and $13M in historical volume.
- Cleveland has since fallen from their 44–57¢ entries to 18¢, so this is a high-risk underdog follow rather than clean momentum.
$5,804 on Cleveland Guardians
Top Holders
- 0xb0b7...5441 — Outcome 29719671, $336,930
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 29719671, $80,000 (56% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 95313976, $55,555 (80% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 29719671, $24,185
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 29719671, $14,571 (94% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Outcome 95313976, $11,530 (92% win rate)
- 0x9b12...5ee4 — Outcome 29719671, $9,840
- 0x04bb...466e — Outcome 95313976, $7,652 (100% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 29719671, $6,090 (62% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Outcome 29719671, $6,000 (51% win rate)
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