Part of: LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,360.

Categories: league of legends, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Winning cluster adds to Karmine Corp Blue

Four bettors, including an 84% winner, are adding substantial Karmine Corp Blue exposure in a relatively thin market after a sharp 32-point price rise.

Four wallets added $4,763 to Karmine Corp Blue, including a bettor with an 84% win rate across 264 resolved markets.
Most traders already held Karmine positions and are scaling in, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
The coordinated buying helped drive the price up 32 points in a market with only $17,269 liquidity.

$4,763 on Karmine Corp Blue

Sharp bettor fades Karmine favorite

A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge sold the favored Karmine side, creating a potentially actionable contrarian TLN position despite the market moving against it.

This bettor wins 77% of 1,050 resolved trades and is up $131,777 lifetime.
Their results exceed the implied odds by 28 percentage points, indicating a meaningful long-term edge.
The trade sold Karmine Corp Blue at 67¢, equivalent to backing TLN Pirates at 33¢, against a 76% current Karmine price.

$1,198 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 77%

Serial esports bettor scaling into Karmine

A highly experienced serial trader with an 81% win rate made a concentrated Karmine Corp Blue bet worth nearly nine times recent market volume.

This bettor has won 81% of 1,141 resolved trades and is up $272,104 lifetime.
They concentrated $2,399 on Karmine Corp Blue at an average entry near 54¢, roughly 9x the market's recent 24-hour volume.
The position is fresh and directional, despite Karmine's price currently sitting around 52¢.

$2,399 on Karmine Corp Blue | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xfe16...7824 — Outcome 94539197, $8,279 (87% win rate)
0x5784...2371 — Outcome 94539197, $8,277 (85% win rate)
0xb039...c6d9 — Outcome 94539197, $5,549 (84% win rate)
0x048f...9992 — Outcome 94539197, $3,000
0xf7c2...9b8d — Outcome 94539197, $2,122 (94% win rate)
0x0587...c40b — Outcome 94539197, $1,852 (93% win rate)
0x37ca...f644 — Outcome 94539197, $1,706 (87% win rate)
0xcfad...fa05 — Outcome 94539197, $1,700
0x6f04...1fb0 — Outcome 94539197, $1,671 (85% win rate)
0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 94539197, $1,306 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner

ResolvedLoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs$8,360 tracked3 signalsleague of legendsGamesSportsEsports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win Game 4 against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win Game 4 against TLN Pirates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.