Part of: Heat vs. Pacers

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $296,790.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 72% win rate put nearly $4.8k on Heat -9.5 at 47¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 341 resolved trades and is up $2.28M lifetime
  • They've traded 140 markets across 90 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Heat -9.5 at 47¢, a price that implies they see the spread covering more often than the market does

$4,817 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 72%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

Four wallets piled $172k into Heat -9.5 minutes before resolution, including two high-volume 72% win-rate traders, making this a strong late-game coordinated sports signal.

  • Four wallets bought Heat together for $172k, a strong one-sided push into a near 50-50 market.
  • Two of the wallets win 72% of their bets, with one up $2.28M and another up $624k lifetime.
  • Most of the buying hit about 3 minutes before resolution, alongside a 160x volume spike in this market.

$172,009 on Heat

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and nearly $2.9M in profit made a concentrated $15.4k live bet on Pacers +9.5 less than 2 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with an exploitable in-game edge.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 1,920 resolved trades and is up $2.9M lifetime.
  • They put $15.4k on Pacers +9.5 just 1.7 minutes before the game resolved, suggesting a strong live read.
  • This wallet has bet $2.4M across 176 related markets, so this looks like a repeatable sports trading edge.

$15,364 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 76%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with 844 resolved bets bought $77k of Pacers +9.5 just 2 minutes before resolution during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 844 resolved bets and is up $3.8M lifetime
  • They put $77k on Pacers +9.5 just 2 minutes before resolution, suggesting a strong live-game read
  • The market saw a 162x volume spike, backing this as meaningful late information rather than routine flow

$77,328 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 43%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A massively profitable sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Heat -9.5 at 45¢ during an unusual pregame volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their resolved trades and is up about $1.48M lifetime
  • They have done this across 294 markets and 214 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Heat -9.5 at 45¢ during a 53.8x volume spike, implying they see the spread as mispriced

$3,612 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 68%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate and +$150k P&L just bought Heat -9.5 into a major pregame volume spike, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and is up $150k on $333k invested
  • They bought Heat -9.5 at 48¢, a price that implies nearly even odds on a sharp spread market
  • Market volume is running 54x above normal, showing broader pregame money is rushing into this matchup

$4,700 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 82%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A very high-performing sports bettor with an 86% win rate and nearly $18.9M P&L made a fresh $6.7k spread bet as volume surged across related markets.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $18.9M lifetime across 449 bets
  • They bought Pacers +9.5 for $6.7k at 52¢ while also trading 3 markets in the same game
  • Market volume jumped 232x versus normal activity, suggesting concentrated pregame positioning

$6,719 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 58%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A proven sharp sports trader with an 85% win rate and nearly $5.9M profit bought Heat -9.5 at 48¢ during a major pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 1,296 resolved trades and is up about $5.9M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across sports markets with the same strong record: 170 events and 250 markets
  • Bought Heat -9.5 at 48¢ during a 232x volume spike, a cheap entry versus the market now at 50¢

$3,585 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 85%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A proven sharp wallet with a 96% win rate and nearly $5.9M profit bought Pacers against the spread during an unusual pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $5.9M across 181 resolved positions.
  • They bought Pacers +9.5 for $5.1k at 52¢, a price that implies they see the spread as mispriced.
  • This came during a 232x volume spike, suggesting strong pregame positioning rather than random action.

$5,072 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 49%

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

A highly profitable, high-volume sports trader with nearly 2,000 resolved bets bought Heat -9.5 at 49¢ during an extreme pre-game volume spike, making this a credible signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 1,960 resolved trades and is up $6.5M lifetime
  • They bought Heat -9.5 at 49¢, close to even odds, suggesting they see the spread as mispriced
  • Market activity is surging at 232x normal volume, which supports the idea that sharp money is moving before tipoff

$3,585 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 11457627, $61,545 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xb6ae...4df8 Outcome 11457627, $57,951 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x4108...9e22 Outcome 11457627, $9,721 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xcf3b...8d68 Outcome 11457627, $3,637
  5. 0xd56f...3bf2 Outcome 11457627, $3,334
  6. 0xbb6f...2653 Outcome 11457627, $2,000 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x7b2c...af48 Outcome 11457627, $1,000
  8. 0x253d...aa62 Outcome 11457627, $853
  9. 0x36f2...dab4 Outcome 11457627, $816 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x570a...d810 Outcome 11457627, $524

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

ResolvedHeat vs. Pacers$296,790 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIA
39-36
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
IND
17-58
Draft Kings
Spread: MIA -8.5O/U: 245.5ML: -355/+280
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

43d ago

$4,817 on Heat at 47¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

43d ago

$172,009 on Heat at 47¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

43d ago

$15,364 on Pacers at 53¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

43d ago

$77,328 on Pacers at 53¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

44d ago

$3,612 on Heat at 45¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

44d ago

$4,700 on Heat at 48¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

44d ago

$6,719 on Pacers at 52¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

44d ago

$3,585 on Heat at 48¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

44d ago

$5,072 on Pacers at 52¢

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

44d ago

$3,585 on Heat at 49¢

Related Theses