What does this Base FDV prediction market cover?

It covers whether Base’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation above $2 billion one day after launch. If the FDV is greater than $2B at the specified time, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

How is Base’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the token’s total supply by its market price. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched.

When does the Base FDV above $2B market resolve?

The market checks the valuation at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after Base’s governance token launch. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2028, but the actual trigger depends on when the token launches.

What does “fading YES” mean in the smart money alert?

“Fading YES” means a tracked trader or signal is taking a position against the Yes outcome, suggesting skepticism that Base’s FDV will be above $2B one day after launch.

Where can I track Base token prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket odds, smart money activity, and alerts related to Base’s token launch valuation.

Part of: Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Base’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $2 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. Resolution depends on the token being publicly transferable and tradable, with FDV calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. PolySpotter is tracking $1,992 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 68% winner fading YES.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,992.

Categories: Base, Pre-Market, Crypto, FDV

Notable Trades

68% winner fading YES

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the No side on a quiet crypto market with a bet far larger than recent volume.

This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $117K lifetime.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.36M deployed across 441 markets.
The $2K trade was huge for this quiet market, over 10x the detected recent volume.

$1,992 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%