Part of: World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,031.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Stage of Elimination

Notable Trades

Quiet-market Spain fade

A positive-history wallet placed a $4.0k No bet in an extremely quiet long-range World Cup market, dwarfing recent volume.

  • A $4.0k bet was about 60x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a very quiet market.
  • The bettor has a long history with 104 resolved trades, winning 69% and up about $4.9k lifetime.
  • Entry at 80¢ implies they see Spain avoiding Round-of-32 elimination as underpriced.

$4,031 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 46188301, $17,058
  2. 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 71328435, $5,763 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 71328435, $4,382 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x5fd8...ce32 — Outcome 71328435, $1,641 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x78c1...473e — Outcome 71328435, $889 (87% win rate)
  6. 0xe723...8104 — Outcome 71328435, $580
  7. 0xf1f1...2d5f — Outcome 71328435, $527
  8. 0x596a...7a0f — Outcome 71328435, $500
  9. 0x942e...be27 — Outcome 71328435, $443
  10. 0x764b...6bad — Outcome 71328435, $406

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination$4,031 tracked1 signalSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupStage of Elimination

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

59d ago

$4,031 on No at 80¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0xbebe0 trades 2 related markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…