Part of: Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians
This prediction market covers the Indian Premier League match between Royal Challengers Bangalore and Mumbai Indians scheduled for May 10, 2026, resolving based on the finalized result published by ESPNcricinfo. PolySpotter is tracking $29,681 in smart money across 7 signals, with recent alerts showing strong Mumbai Indians backing, including one-sided Mumbai flow and profitable IPL whale activity. The market is expected to resolve by May 17, 2026, after the official match result is confirmed.
This market refers to the cricket match between Royal Challengers Bangalore and Mumbai Indians scheduled for May 10 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $186,780.
Categories: Sports, Games, Cricket, Indian Premier League
Notable Trades
88% serial trader cluster
A serial cross-market trader with an 88% record joined a 15-wallet one-sided move into Mumbai Indians, though the market has since moved sharply away from the original entry.
- This bettor has won 88% of 1,234 resolved trades across 267 events.
- 15 wallets bought the same Mumbai Indians side for about $62K during the alert window.
- The original sell at 60¢ converts to buying Mumbai Indians at 40¢, but current odds appear far worse now.
$1,217 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 88%
15-wallet MI flow
A 15-wallet one-sided flow and a 3-day-old repeat large bettor bought Mumbai Indians at 43¢ amid a major volume spike, though the market now shows Mumbai at 0%.
- 15 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $62K on Mumbai Indians.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made multiple large flagged bets, with $5.4K total flagged.
- Market volume spiked 28.6x versus normal activity, suggesting unusually heavy positioning.
$3,446 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 50%
15-wallet one-sided flow
Coordinated 15-wallet flow backed Mumbai Indians, but the copied entry is stale because the outcome now shows 0% after a sharp move.
- 15 wallets all bought Mumbai Indians in the same window, totaling about $62K of one-sided flow.
- This bettor is a high-volume cross-market trader with $322K profit across over 2,000 resolved bets.
- Entry was 66¢, but Mumbai Indians now shows 0%, so this is more useful to study than to chase blindly.
$1,564 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 56%
8-wallet RCB push
Large one-sided IPL flow is notable despite the lead wallet being badly offside, with 8 wallets buying RCB and a serial cross-market bettor taking a $22.8k position.
- 8 wallets bought the same side, totaling $47.3k on Royal Challengers Bangalore.
- The lead bettor has traded across 25 events and is up $51.3k lifetime despite only winning 56% of resolved bets.
- This is a high-risk copy: the bettor entered at 64¢, but the market has since fallen to 12¢.
$22,826 on Royal Challengers Bangalore | Wallet win rate: 56%
New IPL whale bet
A 2-day-old wallet made an $8k RCB bet amid a major pre-event volume spike, but the entry is already underwater and the wallet has minimal track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet put $8,000 on Royal Challengers Bangalore, its second tracked position already.
- The market saw a 24.5x volume spike, suggesting unusual pre-match attention.
- Entry was at 70¢ while the market is now 64¢, so this is a higher-risk copy than a proven sharp signal.
$8,000 on Royal Challengers Bangalore | Wallet win rate: 100%
11-wallet Mumbai surge
Strong one-sided Mumbai flow across 11 wallets moved the IPL market sharply, with serial cross-market bettors and a new wallet participating despite mixed historical records.
- 11 wallets put about $40K behind Mumbai in the same window, driving the price up from the 20–60¢ range to 88¢.
- The flow includes a serial sports trader active across 267 events with an 88% win record.
- A 22.8x volume spike and a 23-point Mumbai price jump suggest this was a major information-driven repricing.
$40,153 on Mumbai Indians
13-wallet RCB surge
High-conviction late match flow with 13 wallets pushing Royal Challengers Bangalore, including profitable high-volume sports traders, but the market is already at 100% so it is mainly worth surfacing as a sharp-flow case rather than an actionable entry.
- 13 wallets put about $61.8K behind Royal Challengers Bangalore as the price ripped to 100%.
- One major buyer has an 88% record across 698 resolved bets and has traded $13.4M historically.
- A new 9-day wallet in the flow is already up $28.3K and has been repeatedly flagged for large bets.
$61,755 on Royal Challengers Bangalore
7-wallet Mumbai flow
Seven-wallet one-sided flow is buying Mumbai alongside a high-volume serial cross-market trader, though the specific wallet has negative lifetime P&L and this trade may partly be position management.
- 7 wallets are all betting Mumbai the same way, totaling about $12.6K in recent flow.
- This wallet is a major serial sports trader across 576 events, with a 61% hit rate on 1,485 resolved bets.
- The move came during a 13.9x volume spike and an 18-point fast price swing against Bangalore.
$1,146 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 61%
88% sports cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market sports trader with an 88% resolved win rate bought Royal Challengers Bangalore amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong 1-day price move.
- This bettor has won 88% of 1,234 resolved trades across 266 events.
- They have traded over $4.6M lifetime and specialize in cross-market event positioning.
- Royal Challengers Bangalore has moved up 25 points in a day, with volume running 38x above normal.
$3,193 on Royal Challengers Bangalore | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor made a $20k RCB buy amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong 1-day price momentum.
- This bettor has traded 25 related event markets and is up $51k across $842k invested.
- A $20k buy landed during a 38x volume spike, suggesting broader money is moving the same way.
- RCB has already moved up 25 points in 1 day, though this entry at 80¢ is slightly above the current 78¢ market.
$20,000 on Royal Challengers Bangalore | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x1df2...89a0 — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $81,150 (46% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $74,812 (43% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $45,482
- 0x5986...73dc — Mumbai Indians, $34,802 (66% win rate)
- 0x4060...3ec3 — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $32,929 (88% win rate)
- 0xd703...71bf — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $30,300
- 0xa38a...821d — Mumbai Indians, $29,568 (56% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — Mumbai Indians, $25,789
- 0x33ab...9523 — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $23,801
- 0x3555...ba40 — Royal Challengers Bangalore, $20,889 (100% win rate)
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