Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,596.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

84% serial sports winner

A very high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 84% win record and positive lifetime P&L closed a No position, which converts to a bullish Yes signal but is weaker than a fresh buy.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 2,296 markets and is up $64.7k lifetime.
They are a massive cross-market trader, active in 730 events with $1.2M total volume.
This was a sell of No, equivalent to buying Yes at 21¢, though it may be position closing rather than a fresh add.

$1,189 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp wallets fading No

Three profitable, high-volume sports wallets are simultaneously selling No after a big move, with one 84% lifetime winner and a strong pre-event volume spike.

A bettor who wins 84% of resolved markets and is up $64.7k is part of this move.
Three profitable wallets sold No in the same window, equivalent to buying Poland Yes around 28¢ on average.
Volume is 44.6x above normal and the market has already moved sharply, suggesting this match is attracting informed attention.

$4,241 on Yes

76% winner caught No surge

A profitable 76% winner bought No before a sharp move, with one-sided flow, a 62x volume spike, and No already moving from 57¢ to 78¢.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $7.6K lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side, totaling nearly $7K on No.
Their 57¢ entry has already moved to 78¢ after a 22-point price jump.

$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

86% winner buying Poland

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 86% record and strong cross-market history bought Poland Yes at 50¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $628k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 161 events and $493k in similar event bets.
Entry at 50¢ suggests they see Poland as mispriced in an otherwise balanced market.

$3,333 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Elite sports bettor buying NO

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $1.3M lifetime profit bought Poland No at 51¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
They have traded across 310 events with the same 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 51¢ implies they see Poland failing to win as better than a coin flip.

$1,333 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 57443879, $6,666 (84% win rate)
0x58d2...0357 — Outcome 57443879, $4,940
0x0b47...2f60 — Outcome 57443879, $4,920
0x5bdb...8eb1 — Outcome 57443879, $4,918
0x7382...dafc — Outcome 57443879, $4,904
0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 57443879, $3,923 (73% win rate)
0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 57443879, $1,634 (88% win rate)
0x38f8...cc9f — Outcome 57443879, $1,082
0x8dee...412b — Outcome 57443879, $1,000 (96% win rate)
0xde0a...f102 — Outcome 57443879, $800 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina, France, or Spain wins

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?

ResolvedPoland vs. Nigeria$13,596 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 3, 2026 If Poland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.