Part of: Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Istanbul 3 tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski, scheduled for September 11, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $2,062 in tracked smart money and one signal currently recorded; the market resolution date is September 18, 2026.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,903.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sharp backs Kasnikowski
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge bought Maks Kasnikowski before the market moved from 56% to 60%.
- This bettor wins 82% of 205 resolved trades and is up $508,000 lifetime.
- The trader has placed nearly $1 million across 206 events, providing strong evidence of repeatable skill.
- Maks Kasnikowski was bought at 56¢ and has since risen to 60%, corroborating the position.
$2,062 on Maks Kasnikowski | Wallet win rate: 82%
Large bettor doubles down on Maks
A large bettor added $12.8K to an existing Maks Kasnikowski position in a thin market, driving a sharp price breakout despite limited track-record evidence.
- The bettor added $12,841 to an existing Maks Kasnikowski position, bringing their total investment to $56,168.
- The trade was 339% of reported 24-hour volume and coincided with a roughly 30-point price breakout.
- The wallet has only one resolved trade, despite showing a 100% win rate and $83,549 in reported profit.
$12,841 on Maks Kasnikowski | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x5c50...e0c9 — Outcome 46338000, $10,078 (26% win rate)
- 0x71c0...13b5 — Outcome 46338000, $1,900 (65% win rate)
- 0x26a7...4fba — Outcome 46338000, $1,552
- 0xbaf4...d5c4 — Outcome 46338000, $1,123 (86% win rate)
- 0xe54d...fdec — Outcome 46338000, $990 (69% win rate)
- 0x16cf...a2fb — Outcome 46338000, $754
- 0x2374...a426 — Outcome 46338000, $595 (88% win rate)
- 0xd9e0...05f2 — Outcome 46338000, $545 (51% win rate)
- 0xd0d8...a7b9 — Outcome 46338000, $324
- 0x5056...fbb3 — Outcome 46338000, $248
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