Part of: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,254.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

76% win-rate serial trader

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 76% win rate sold HOTU, which translates to buying Legacy around 74¢, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest stake size.

  • This bettor has won 451 of 593 resolved trades and has put $844k across 162 related markets
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  • Selling HOTU at 26¢ is equivalent to buying Legacy at 74¢, showing a clear side on this match
  • HOTU moved about 19 points after the trade, suggesting the market repriced quickly around this position

$1,422 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 84%

4-wallet sharp cluster

Four wallets piled into Legacy for $9.2k, including multiple high-volume winning traders, and the coordinated buying pushed implied odds meaningfully toward Legacy.

  • Four wallets all bet Legacy within minutes, totaling $9.2k in a coordinated push
  • Two of the bettors have strong records: one wins 83% of 399 bets and another wins 76% across 592 bets
  • They bought between 61¢ and 71¢, and the market moved to 70¢ as the cluster came in

$9,182 on Legacy

3-wallet sharp Legacy cluster

Three wallets piled into Legacy at the same time, including one bettor with an 83% win rate and nearly $89k profit, making this coordinated esports buy flow worth watching despite the mixed quality of the cluster.

  • Three wallets bought Legacy together for $5.5k, led by a bettor who wins 83% of 399 resolved trades and is up $88.6k
  • Two of the wallets are active cross-market traders, suggesting this is part of a repeat betting process rather than a one-off punt
  • They paid 61-71¢ while Legacy now trades at 57¢, so copying only makes sense near the low end of their entries

$5,506 on Legacy

76% win-rate esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 76% win rate is taking a contrarian position on HOTU at 34¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 589 resolved markets and is up $28k overall.
  • They trade heavily across related events — 97 events and 162 markets for $841k total volume.
  • Bought HOTU at 34¢ while the market is pricing them at 36%, suggesting they see underdog value.

$1,168 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 84%

76% win-rate sports bettor

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate put nearly $8k into HOTU across related markets, and this position alone exceeded the market’s recent volume in a relatively thin book.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 589 bets and has put $832k across 161 related markets
  • They bought nearly $8k of HOTU around 35¢, implying they see a strong underdog mispricing
  • This order was bigger than the market’s recent trading flow and landed in a book with only about $15.8k of liquidity

$7,977 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcdca...66eb Outcome 58059571, $3,769 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x048f...9992 Outcome 58059571, $270
  3. 0x9227...7ced Outcome 58059571, $45
  4. 0x8112...4129 Outcome 58059571, $42
  5. 0x8190...27b4 Outcome 58059571, $29
  6. 0x0b45...ac9f Outcome 58059571, $28
  7. 0xca29...a1d0 Outcome 58059571, $27
  8. 0x10a0...e54d Outcome 58059571, $15
  9. 0xd210...92df Outcome 58059571, $15
  10. 0xde2c...fe66 Outcome 58059571, $11

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$25,254 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 1 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

38d ago

$1,422 on Legacy at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

38d ago

$9,182 on Legacy at 66¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

38d ago

$5,506 on Legacy at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

38d ago

$1,168 on HOTU at 34¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

38d ago

$7,977 on HOTU at 35¢

Related Theses