Part of: Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin

Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin

The Istanbul 2 prediction market tracks whether Antoine Ghibaudo or Ilia Simakin advances in their tennis match scheduled for August 8, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $8,749 in smart money across two signals, including recent backing for Ilia Simakin; the market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,195.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and $875,718 lifetime profit added $7,061 to an existing Ilia Simakin position at 78%.

  • This bettor has won 1,136 of 1,149 resolved trades and is up $875,718 lifetime.
  • They added $7,061 to an existing Ilia Simakin position at 78%, showing continued conviction.
  • The market later moved to 100% for Ilia Simakin, corroborating the trade’s direction.

$7,061 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 99%

96% win-rate bettor adds to Ilia

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge added to an Ilia Simakin position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 122 resolved positions, earning $9,674 while entering at an average winning price of 52%.
  • They added $1,688 at 84¢ to an existing Ilia Simakin position during a 92x volume spike.
  • The trade implies strong conviction in Ilia, though the market has since moved to 100¢.

$1,688 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp cluster backing Ilia Simakin

Three wallets, including two exceptionally profitable bettors, concentrated $14.4K into Ilia Simakin amid a major volume spike and a move from roughly 80% to 87%.

  • Three wallets bought $14,446 of Ilia Simakin, with two bettors showing 96% and 99% historical win rates.
  • The group entered around 81¢ on average while the market has moved to 87%, alongside a 4,056x volume spike.
  • The strongest wallets are adding to existing Ilia positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.

$14,446 on Ilia Simakin

Top Holders

  1. 0x9449...d829 Outcome 62339214, $20,285
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 62339214, $12,646 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x2978...b511 Outcome 62339214, $12,259 (45% win rate)
  4. 0x5b57...de6b Outcome 62339214, $10,700 (72% win rate)
  5. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 62339214, $2,297 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x12b1...b851 Outcome 62339214, $1,598 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x14a2...704c Outcome 62339214, $1,241
  8. 0x35c4...7242 Outcome 62339214, $998
  9. 0xd2b0...cfa1 Outcome 62339214, $804
  10. 0xc98f...a13f Outcome 62339214, $671

Related Theses

Alexandrova beats Ann Li

Covers 1 related market

Elias Ymer beats Visker

Covers 1 related market

Munar beats Fearnley at Wimbledon

Covers 1 related market

Zhang beats Bucsa

Covers 1 related market

Buse beats Giron

Covers 1 related market

Acosta beats Holmgren

Covers 1 related market

Fever beat the Sparks

Covers 1 related market

Mystics beat the Storm

Covers 1 related market

Fagiano Cerezo stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Cruz Azul Pumas stay low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin

6dIstanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin$23,195 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Antoine Ghibaudo and Ilia Simakin in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antoine Ghibaudo' if Antoine Ghibaudo advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Antoine Ghibaudo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Ilia Simakin
102¢
77¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin

15h ago

$7,061 on Ilia Simakin at 78¢

Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin

15h ago

$1,688 on Ilia Simakin at 84¢

Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin

15h ago

$14,446 on Ilia Simakin at 81¢

Related Theses