Part of: Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $854,817.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
13-wallet funded cluster
A 13-wallet funded cluster with a large betting history is backing No here, and this wallet is part of a broad cross-market operator with positive lifetime P&L.
- 13 wallets funded by the same address have been flagged before and are still betting from the same playbook
- This wallet has over 2,000 resolved bets and is up about $74k lifetime
- The bet is on No at 65¢ in a deep, active market, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random small punt
$1,983 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable new wallet cluster
A very active 4-day-old wallet with early profits made a large last-minute bet alongside 3 other wallets on a live sports market, suggesting strong coordinated conviction worth watching despite the small resolved sample.
- A 4-day-old wallet with $63k profit already slammed $14.1k into one side just 2.5 minutes before resolution.
- 4 wallets all bet the same outcome for a combined $29k, showing concentrated conviction in the final minutes.
- The market saw a 26x volume spike, and this bettor paid 41¢ for an outcome now at 22¢.
$14,096 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
New whale late on Yes
A very new wallet with early profits poured over $217k into Nottingham Forest Yes around 41¢ in the final minutes, alongside 4 other wallets betting the same way during a huge volume spike.
- A 4-day-old wallet with $63k profit already put $217k into this side at 41¢.
- The buys came in the last 2.5 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can signal a live information edge.
- Five wallets piled into Yes for $234k total as market volume jumped 157x above normal.
$217,414 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
5-wallet late Yes surge
A five-wallet one-sided rush bought Nottingham Forest minutes before kickoff/resolution, and this wallet joined with an $11k equivalent Yes bet during a massive volume spike.
- Five wallets piled into the same side for $233.6k total, a strong one-way signal on this match.
- This wallet effectively bought Yes at 41¢ with an $11k stake just 3 minutes before resolution time.
- Market volume exploded to 156x normal and the price was already up 8 points on the day, showing fast momentum behind this side.
$11,033 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable new whale buying Yes
A 4-day-old wallet with early profits just stacked $260k on Nottingham Forest at 41¢ into a major pre-match volume spike, signaling unusually strong fresh conviction.
- A 4-day-old wallet already shows $63k profit and just put $260k into one side of this match.
- The bettor kept adding at 41¢ across 14 buys, showing sustained conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- Market activity exploded to 263x normal volume, and this buy came before a 6-point move higher over the last day.
$260,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
4-wallet pregame No cluster
Four wallets piled into No for over $15k during a sharp pregame volume surge, including two bettors with strong long-term records, pushing the price from 58-62¢ up to 64¢.
- Four wallets bought No within minutes for $15.1k total, showing coordinated pregame conviction.
- Two of the wallets have strong records: one wins 79% of 1,029 bets and another wins 71% of 1,008 bets.
- They got in at 58-62¢ before No moved to 64¢, suggesting the market was repricing toward their side.
$15,123 on No
13-wallet linked cluster
A 13-wallet linked cluster is leaning the same way into a major pre-match volume surge, with this wallet adding a sizable No position in a liquid soccer market.
- 13 linked wallets funded by the same source have been active together, and 5 wallets piled into No for $20.9k total.
- This wallet is a high-volume bettor with 2,034 resolved trades and $74.5k profit.
- Market activity is surging at 217x normal volume, and this trader bought No at 61¢ as the price moved higher.
$1,479 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
56-0 sharp sports bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with a perfect 56-for-56 resolved record and over $2.1M profit just bought Nottingham Forest at 38¢ amid a major pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor has won 56 of 56 resolved markets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They trade across 69 markets in 58 events with a perfect record, which makes this a strong follow signal.
- Bought Yes at 38¢ as volume ran 120x above normal, and the price has already moved to 40¢.
$5,355 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable new wallet whale
A very new wallet with early profits made a $56.7k concentrated buy on Yes into a strong pre-match volume spike, suggesting real conviction despite the market already being highly active.
- A 4-day-old wallet with $63k profit already put $56.7k on one side of this match.
- This wallet has been flagged 165 times for large early bets, which points to a repeat high-conviction trader rather than a one-off punt.
- Bought Yes at 39-40¢ during a 120x volume spike, implying they see Nottingham Forest as meaningfully underpriced.
$56,690 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly active and profitable sports-style trader with 5,217 resolved bets bought No into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a credible signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor has won 63% of 5,217 resolved bets and is up about $1.8M overall
- They trade heavily across related events, with more than $1.0M tracked across 310 markets
- The bet came during an 81.6x volume spike, suggesting broader money was moving into this match market
$1,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 13166482, $242,598 (97% win rate)
- 0x4d30...a42d — Outcome 13166482, $41,684 (89% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 73235365, $23,528
- 0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 13166482, $17,129
- 0x97f9...0aeb — Outcome 13166482, $4,754 (80% win rate)
- 0x1050...43af — Outcome 13166482, $2,650 (91% win rate)
- 0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 13166482, $2,186 (75% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 13166482, $1,971 (55% win rate)
- 0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 13166482, $1,218 (98% win rate)
- 0x791e...9bda — Outcome 13166482, $1,198 (98% win rate)
Related Theses
Aston Villa beats Liverpool
Covers 3 related markets
