Five wallets bought $25k of Yes in the same window, driving the market from around 55–83¢ to 98¢. This came with a 46.7x volume spike and a 25-point price move, suggesting fast one-sided conviction. One participating wallet has traded across 39 events and is up $15.7k with a 65% hit rate.

Part of: SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,721.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL

Notable Trades

91% winner buying contrarian NO

A highly profitable 91% sports bettor made a large contrarian No bet, backed by one-sided cluster flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.66M lifetime.
They put $25.3K on No, while 4 wallets bought the same side for $57.8K total.
The market has moved against them from 44¢ to 8¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.

$25,307 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

5-wallet Yes surge

A 5-wallet cluster bought $25k of Freiburg Yes as the price ripped from the mid-50s to 98%, backed by a major volume spike and one profitable serial cross-market trader.

Five wallets bought $25k of Yes in the same window, driving the market from around 55–83¢ to 98¢.
This came with a 46.7x volume spike and a 25-point price move, suggesting fast one-sided conviction.
One participating wallet has traded across 39 events and is up $15.7k with a 65% hit rate.

$25,220 on Yes

Profitable serial timer buying NO

Strong near-resolution sports signal from a profitable serial timer, reinforced by one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike, though the position has moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has made 17 near-resolution bets and is up about $375k lifetime.
Four wallets bought the same side, totaling about $57.8k on NO.
The trade came 30 seconds before scheduled resolution, when live sports information can matter most.

$1,741 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Perfect-record bettor on NO

A proven sports bettor with a 15-0 resolved record and $38K profit is buying No on Freiburg at 44¢.

This bettor has won 15 of 15 resolved trades and is up $38K lifetime.
They have traded across 39 sports events with $151K total deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Entry at 44¢ implies a potential 2.3x payout if Freiburg fails to win.

$3,453 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xfd29...77ae — Outcome 17428200, $112,320 (92% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 17428200, $18,036
0x8a6c...0b3f — Outcome 17428200, $9,659 (49% win rate)
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 17428200, $8,463
0xdd51...1041 — Outcome 17428200, $7,875 (100% win rate)
0x6d11...c449 — Outcome 17428200, $3,868 (56% win rate)
0xe5f0...dc1d — Outcome 17428200, $3,000 (24% win rate)
0x0844...f46a — Outcome 17428200, $2,809 (87% win rate)
0x22f8...898e — Outcome 17428200, $2,650
0xe988...cf23 — Outcome 17428200, $2,436

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?

ResolvedSC Freiburg vs. SC Braga$55,721 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 7, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.