Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bucks" if the Bucks win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $642,926.

Notable Trades

82% winner in 5-wallet cluster

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate joined a 5-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Grizzlies minutes before resolution with over $127k of one-sided flow.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • Five wallets piled into Grizzlies for $127k total, with some linked funding behind the move.
  • The buy came 5 minutes before resolution at 46¢, suggesting they saw the spread as mispriced late.

$42,878 on Grizzlies | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp 5-wallet Grizzlies cluster

Five wallets, including one with an 82% win rate and nearly $2.0M profit, coordinated an $84k buy into Grizzlies while linked clusters on both sides poured large money into this game market.

  • A five-wallet cluster put $84k on Grizzlies, and two of the wallets share a funder.
  • One of the buyers wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • This game drew an extreme volume surge, with market activity running about 2446x its normal level.

$84,427 on Grizzlies

Sharp bettor in 7-wallet cluster

A sharp wallet with an 83% win rate joined a 7-wallet, partly linked cluster that put over $558k on Bucks amid a massive pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $160k on nearly $398k invested.
  • Seven wallets all bought Bucks, totaling about $558k, and four share the same funder.
  • They entered at 53¢ while the market now sits around 55¢, with a huge pregame volume spike backing the move.

$7,604 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 83%

7-wallet Bucks cluster

Worth surfacing: a profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 7-wallet, partially linked cluster all taking the Bucks side during a major pregame volume surge.

  • Seven wallets all lined up on Bucks, putting in about $558k total, with 4 of them linked to the same funder.
  • This wallet has a 63% win rate across 2,685 resolved bets and is up about $56.6k lifetime.
  • The trade was a sell of Grizzlies at 46¢, which is equivalent to buying Bucks at 54¢ near the current market price.

$5,660 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 63%

7-wallet Bucks cluster

A linked 7-wallet cluster poured over $558k into Bucks -6.5 right before resolution, led by a high-volume wallet with positive long-term profits, making this a strong coordinated conviction signal.

  • Seven wallets all bought Bucks together for $558k, and four share the same funder.
  • This wallet alone put in $487k at 54¢ in two buys, a very concentrated bet even in a liquid market.
  • Market volume ran 1,079x above normal, showing a sharp late surge of money behind the same side.

$486,783 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 54%

Sharp bettor on Bucks

A profitable sharp bettor with an 83% win rate and strong edge bought Bucks -6.5 near market price, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and is up $45k overall
  • They beat the odds by a wide margin, with a strong edge across 12 settled bets
  • They just put nearly $4k on Bucks -6.5 at 49¢ in a liquid market

$3,939 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 83%

87% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an exceptional 87% win rate and $428k profit is taking a fresh position on Bucks -6.5 at 49¢, which is notable even though the bet size is modest.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 333 resolved bets and is up $428k.
  • They bought Bucks -6.5 at 49¢, close to a coin flip price despite a long track record of beating similar odds.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random punt in a thin market.

$1,020 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp late cluster on Bucks

Three wallets with unusually strong win rates piled into Bucks -6.5 within seconds of resolution, creating a sharp coordinated late-bet signal worth surfacing despite the market moving against their entry afterward.

  • Three wallets all bought Bucks -6.5 for $10.6k total, and two of them have elite recent records of 83% and 96% wins.
  • One wallet has a much longer track record too: 697 wins in 874 resolved bets with $160.9k profit.
  • The bets hit about 20 seconds before resolution around 55-57¢, suggesting a last-second edge rather than a casual live bet.

$10,617 on Bucks

Top Holders

  1. 0xc2e7...be51 Bucks, $918,321 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xbddf...c684 Grizzlies, $885,888 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x7d92...8676 Grizzlies, $132,783 (82% win rate)
  4. 0x709e...66f5 Bucks, $69,141 (83% win rate)
  5. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Grizzlies, $53,022 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xee61...debf Grizzlies, $37,117 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x37e4...c991 Bucks, $25,000 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x37c1...c53a Bucks, $21,652 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xd106...c79c Bucks, $21,202 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x32ed...f960 Grizzlies, $15,887 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

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Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

Resolved$642,926 tracked8 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Bucks
56¢
Grizzlies
44¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bucks" if the Bucks win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

2h ago

$42,878 on Grizzlies at 46¢

46¢44¢2¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

3h ago

$84,427 on Grizzlies at 48¢

48¢44¢4¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

3h ago

$7,604 on Bucks at 53¢

53¢56¢3¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

3h ago

$5,660 on Bucks at 54¢

54¢56¢2¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

3h ago

$486,783 on Bucks at 54¢

54¢56¢2¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

5h ago

$3,939 on Bucks at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

7h ago

$1,020 on Bucks at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

2h ago

$10,617 on Bucks at 56¢

56¢56¢

Related Theses

Spread: Bucks (-6.5) | PolySpotter