Five wallets bought the same Under side, totaling about $15.8K in coordinated flow. This wallet is active across 7 markets in the same event with $78.6K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis. Under has already rebounded from this bettor’s lower entries around 32–36¢ to 47¢.

Part of: New Zealand vs. Belgium - More Markets

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $481,623.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

5-wallet Under push

High composite alert from coordinated Under buying across 5 wallets plus event-wide positioning, though the lead wallet's long-term P&L is not strong.

Five wallets bought the same Under side, totaling about $15.8K in coordinated flow.
This wallet is active across 7 markets in the same event with $78.6K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis.
Under has already rebounded from this bettor’s lower entries around 32–36¢ to 47¢.

$7,039 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable wallets pile into Over

Six wallets put $44.9k on Over in a liquid World Cup total, backed by profitable serial sports bettors, a repeat new-wallet whale, and a major pre-event volume spike.

Six wallets bet $44.9k on Over, mostly around 65–70¢, while the market now offers a cheaper 53¢ entry.
One key bettor has won 70% of 2,540 resolved bets and is up $119k lifetime.
This market has a 13.8x volume spike, and Over is up 18 points this week.

$44,879 on Over

5-wallet Under push

High composite alert from coordinated Under buying across 5 wallets plus event-wide positioning, though the lead wallet's long-term P&L is not strong.

Five wallets bought the same Under side, totaling about $15.8K in coordinated flow.
This wallet is active across 7 markets in the same event with $78.6K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis.
Under has already rebounded from this bettor’s lower entries around 32–36¢ to 47¢.

$13,096 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable new whale on Over

High-score alert from a 5-day-old profitable repeat bettor adding to Over, backed by one-sided cluster flow, cross-market positioning, and a major pre-event volume spike.

This 5-day-old bettor is already up $20K and has repeatedly placed large flagged bets.
Four wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $33K in the same direction.
Market volume is surging 35x above normal, and Over has already moved up 16 points in the past day.

$12,904 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

97% winner bought early Over

Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Over 3.5 at 38¢ before the market moved to 52¢.

This bettor has won 32 of 33 resolved positions and is up $66.6K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 47 events with a 97% hit rate.
They bought Over at 38¢ before the market moved to 52¢, suggesting they caught the move early.

$1,888 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%

Coordinated Under flow

High composite alert driven by coordinated Under buying, a major volume spike, and cross-market event positioning, despite the lead wallet not having a strong lifetime record.

Five wallets bought the same Under side for about $55k, creating a clear one-way flow.
Volume spiked 46x above the market’s usual pace while Under moved up about 15 points.
The lead wallet is active across 7 related markets with $68k positioned on this event.

$50,152 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

6-wallet Over cluster

Surfaced because six wallets, including a linked pair, bought the same Over side during a major volume spike, though the specific wallet has a weak track record and the entry has moved against them.

Six wallets bought the same Over side for $20.3K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
The market saw a 10.7x volume spike before the event, suggesting coordinated positioning.
Caution: this wallet is down $176K lifetime and bought at 50¢ while the market is now 38¢.

$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp one-sided Under flow

Surfaced because 11 wallets, including profitable serial sports traders and one 82% winner, pushed a $51k one-sided Under position during a major volume spike.

11 wallets put about $51k on Under, with the main flow all landing in the same few minutes.
One bettor in the cluster wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $131k lifetime.
Market volume spiked 12x and Under moved nearly 19 points, suggesting this was part of a broader pre-game/in-game repricing.

$27,495 on Under

7-wallet Over steam

Coordinated seven-wallet Over flow with sharp/profitable participants pushed the market from the mid-60s to 100%, though the easy entry appears gone.

Seven wallets put $32.7k on the same side, mostly around 65–70¢ before Over moved to 100¢.
One bettor in the cluster wins 99% of resolved bets, and another new wallet is already up $21.4k after repeated large bets.
The market saw heavy momentum, with Over up 51 points in the past day and a 24-point move during the alert window.

$32,733 on Over

81% sports sharp on Over

A highly profitable 81% sports bettor bought Over alongside one-sided market flow and a pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $135K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 138 events and nearly $1M invested.
Three wallets bought the same Over side as volume spiked 11x before the match.

$1,601 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 57488416, $57,014 (73% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 57488416, $51,000 (86% win rate)
0xb7ae...337c — Outcome 57488416, $31,109
0x332a...c9a2 — Outcome 57488416, $29,743 (48% win rate)
0xa7a4...e371 — Outcome 57488416, $29,000 (81% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 57488416, $21,716 (75% win rate)
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 57488416, $19,987 (74% win rate)
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 57488416, $16,935 (71% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 57488416, $16,351 (46% win rate)
0xf298...ada5 — Outcome 57488416, $15,000 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

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New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

ResolvedNew Zealand vs. Belgium - More Markets$481,623 tracked23 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if New Zealand and Belgium combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.