This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $397k lifetime. They added $21.6k to an existing No position, bringing total exposure on this market above $50k. Entry at 75¢ suggests they see limited draw risk despite heavy pre-game volume.

Part of: Norway vs. England

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $375,237.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster caught draw

A large coordinated Yes move from 42 wallets, including several strong sports traders, caught the draw before odds moved to 100%.

42 wallets bought the draw for $266k, pushing Yes up 74 points to 100%.
Several strong bettors joined, including wallets winning 98% and 87% of resolved trades.
This move is already fully priced at 100%, so it is more useful as a follow/study signal than a fresh entry.

$265,981 on Yes

Serial sports bettor adding

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate is adding to an existing No position ahead of kickoff, though the market is highly liquid so the size signal is moderate.

This bettor has won 78% of 282 resolved markets and is up about $83k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $784k deployed across 57 related markets.
They added $6.8k to an existing No position at 75–77¢ before the match.

$6,823 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

92% winner adding to No

A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports trader is adding to a No-draw position ahead of a high-volume match with a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
They bought another $3.5K of No, bringing their open No position to about $13.9K.
Market volume is spiking 61x before the match, suggesting this move is part of broader pre-game positioning.

$3,535 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

94% winner adding No

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% historical win rate is adding another $21.6k to an existing No position ahead of kickoff.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $397k lifetime.
They added $21.6k to an existing No position, bringing total exposure on this market above $50k.
Entry at 75¢ suggests they see limited draw risk despite heavy pre-game volume.

$21,562 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

90% winner fades draw

A highly profitable 90% winner is selling $77k of Draw exposure, implying a BUY No at 74¢, though this is partly a reduction of an existing large Yes position rather than a brand-new No bet.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $8.5M lifetime.
They sold $77k of Draw shares at 26¢, equivalent to buying No at 74¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 28 events with a 90% hit rate.

$77,337 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 90644986, $4,954,608
0x0c78...77f1 — Outcome 90644986, $510,427 (77% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 90644986, $340,170 (63% win rate)
0x7ddd...c933 — Outcome 90644986, $333,531 (92% win rate)
0x209b...5706 — Outcome 90644986, $28,846 (94% win rate)
0x95f5...779f — Outcome 90644986, $28,167
0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 90644986, $20,000 (98% win rate)
0xd104...acef — Outcome 90644986, $20,000 (82% win rate)
0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 90644986, $19,728 (67% win rate)
0x99c4...18e7 — Outcome 90644986, $15,138 (51% win rate)

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Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

ResolvedNorway vs. England$375,237 tracked5 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 11, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.