Part of: LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
This Polymarket prediction market covers the League of Legends MSI Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal BO5 between G2 Esports and Top Esports, scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $1,000 in smart money and 1 signal so far, including sharp esports alerts and buying interest on G2. Resolution is expected by July 3, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, subject to the market’s cancellation or delay rules.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between G2 Esports and Top Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,360.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
79% winner buying G2
Sharp esports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and $335k lifetime profit is buying G2 at 47¢ despite Top Esports being slight favorite.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $335k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.6M in tracked volume across 63 events.
- Entry at 47¢ implies they see G2 as better than a coin flip against the current market.
$1,000 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 79%
92% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 92% win rate is making a $9.4k buy on G2 Esports at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $43.4k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 61 events, 87 markets, and $315k traded.
- A $9.4k entry at 47¢ implies they see G2 as meaningfully undervalued versus the current near-even market.
$9,400 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate esports sharp
Elite esports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record is buying G2 at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $181,981 lifetime.
- They have traded 114 related events with a 92% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 47¢ implies they see G2 as meaningfully undervalued against a 46% market price.
$1,957 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%
76% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with a 76% resolved win rate and $90k lifetime profit is buying Top Esports in a market where it has broad cross-market experience.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $90,412 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 41 events, with $166k in similar activity tracked.
- Bought Top Esports at 53¢, suggesting confidence in a close market currently priced near even.
$2,002 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xd532...25ef — Top Esports, $98,799
- 0xae5e...13be — G2 Esports, $66,008 (45% win rate)
- 0xef27...381b — Top Esports, $25,926 (49% win rate)
- 0x57b4...b46b — G2 Esports, $20,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x8593...8cfb — Top Esports, $11,879 (84% win rate)
- 0x0224...292a — G2 Esports, $11,864 (59% win rate)
- 0x9b7b...a88d — Top Esports, $9,259 (44% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — G2 Esports, $7,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xe0db...f44e — G2 Esports, $6,522 (50% win rate)
- 0xe100...4d41 — G2 Esports, $6,368 (61% win rate)
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