Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,165.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Perfect-record esports sharp

Surface: a highly profitable perfect-record wallet is buying Team Spirit, with a strong serial cross-market track record across esports markets.

  • This bettor is 34-for-34 on resolved positions and is up $141k lifetime.
  • They have traded 49 markets across 37 events with a perfect recorded win rate.
  • The $1.1k buy backs Team Spirit at 75¢, matching the current favorite side after a large Aurora price drop.

$1,100 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

Elite 93% bettor on Team Spirit

Elite cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $2.6M lifetime profit bought $5.5k of Team Spirit at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
  • They are a major serial sports trader, with $5.5M deployed across 417 events.
  • A $5.5k buy at 53¢ backs Team Spirit despite the market sitting near even odds.

$5,476 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Three elite esports sharps

Three highly profitable esports bettors with 89-94% historical win rates bought $14.4k of Team Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • Three proven bettors with 89-94% win rates are all buying Team Spirit.
  • These wallets are up about $4.4M combined across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The market saw a 55.8x volume spike, with $14.4k flowing one way into Team Spirit.

$14,354 on Team Spirit

94% winner backing Team Spirit

Elite sports/esports bettor with a 94% win record and $1.62M profit bought Team Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $1.62M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.9M deployed across 204 markets.
  • Market volume spiked 104x before the match, adding momentum to the Team Spirit buy.

$3,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

89% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable 89% win-rate esports bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Team Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved positions and is up $193K lifetime.
  • They have traded 69 markets across 53 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Market volume is spiking 104x above normal while they buy Team Spirit at 53¢.

$3,878 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

92% winner backs Aurora

Sharp esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Aurora amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They have repeated this edge across 38 events with $71.9k traded.
  • Market volume is spiking 104x before the match, and they entered Aurora at 48¢.

$1,268 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% winner buying underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Aurora at 49¢.

  • This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved trades and is up $43,363 lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market record across 37 events with a 92% win rate.
  • Entry at 49¢ suggests they see Aurora as mispriced in a near-even match.

$1,493 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable esports regular

Surfaced despite a low composite score because the bettor has a large profitable history and is taking a fresh Team Spirit position near even odds.

  • This bettor is up $89.6K lifetime across 692 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 60 related events before, suggesting this is a repeat specialist rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 52¢ is close to even money, so they appear to see Team Spirit as mispriced.

$2,433 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Team Spirit near even money, with a strong lifetime P&L and extensive resolved history.

  • This bettor is up $556K across 447 resolved bets, with a 62% win rate.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 263 events and nearly $2M tracked in this pattern.
  • They bought Team Spirit at 49¢ in a liquid near-even market, implying almost a 2x payout if right.

$5,390 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial esports trader

Despite a low composite score, this is a highly profitable serial cross-market wallet buying Team Spirit in a modest-liquidity esports market.

  • This bettor is up $9.8M lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 491 markets across 335 events, suggesting a specialized cross-market strategy.
  • Buying Team Spirit at 47¢ gives underdog exposure in a market with only $11.6K traded in the last day.

$2,773 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 32836981, $10,450 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x4379...2e16 Outcome 32836981, $6,000 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x83a0...eabb Outcome 32836981, $5,688 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xa9c4...7433 Outcome 32836981, $5,304 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x3af1...d739 Outcome 32836981, $5,242 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x4574...273d Outcome 32836981, $5,000 (83% win rate)
  7. 0xb6ce...7a7d Outcome 32836981, $4,563 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x0e1b...ecaf Outcome 32836981, $3,023 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x1065...6218 Outcome 32836981, $2,573 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x0cef...fa91 Outcome 32836981, $2,000 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$41,165 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Spirit in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$1,100 on Team Spirit at 75¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$5,476 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$14,354 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$3,000 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$3,878 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$1,268 on Aurora at 48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$1,493 on Aurora at 49¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$2,433 on Team Spirit at 52¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

2d ago

$5,390 on Team Spirit at 49¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

2d ago

$2,773 on Team Spirit at 47¢

Related Theses