Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
This prediction market tracks who will advance in the Roland Garros WTA match between Diana Shnaider and Maja Chwalinska, scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who wins the match and advances, with final resolution expected by June 11, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $5,238 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp activity around both Shnaider and the underdog side.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $507,036.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial tennis/sports trader bought Maja Chwalinska at 64¢ before the market moved to 100¢, with the trade coinciding with a major price jump.
- This bettor is up $8.9M lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved markets.
- They have traded 363 related events and win 61% of resolved bets despite large volume.
- Bought Maja Chwalinska at 64¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,544 on Maja Chwalinska | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp bettor caught move
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved-bet win rate bought Maja Chwalinska at 63¢ before a large move to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $6.8K lifetime.
- They bought Maja Chwalinska at 63¢ before the market moved sharply to 100¢.
- The 25-point price move suggests this was a well-timed tennis position, though the entry has already passed.
$3,695 on Maja Chwalinska | Wallet win rate: 89%
80% winner buying underdog
Surface this because a highly profitable 80% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Diana Shnaider, with additional one-sided flow from three wallets.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $167,595 lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Diana Shnaider at 29¢, while the market now offers around 26–27¢.
- Three wallets have bet the same Diana Shnaider side for nearly $9,847 total.
$1,567 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable bettor buying the dip
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Diana Shnaider at 23¢ alongside a small same-direction cluster after a major price drop.
- This bettor is up $816k lifetime across 9,757 resolved trades.
- Three wallets bought Diana Shnaider the same way, totaling about $9.8k.
- Entry at 23¢ after a big price drop implies a contrarian ~4.3x payoff if Shnaider advances.
$4,238 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 53%
4-wallet Shnaider push
Coordinated one-sided buying on Diana Shnaider across 4 wallets coincided with a rapid 11-point price move, though the lead wallet’s long-term P&L is weak.
- Four wallets bought Diana Shnaider the same way, totaling about $9k in the scan window.
- The buying coincided with an 11-point jump in under 3 minutes, suggesting real momentum behind the move.
- This wallet is highly active across 651 events, but its lifetime P&L is negative, so the cluster flow is the main signal.
$4,042 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp bettor flips with cluster
Sharp 88% winning tennis bettor flipped into Diana Shnaider alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and immediate price movement.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $105K lifetime.
- They bought $4.2K of Diana Shnaider at 31¢ after closing a Maja Chwalinska position.
- Seven wallets bought the same side for nearly $20K, helping move Diana up 11 points in minutes.
$4,200 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 87%
Proven sharp joins Diana cluster
A highly profitable 80% win-rate wallet sold Maja, equivalent to buying Diana at 30¢, alongside seven wallets taking the same side.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $167k lifetime.
- Seven wallets have taken the same Diana side, totaling about $20k in one-sided flow.
- Selling Maja at 70¢ equals buying Diana at 30¢, and Diana has already moved to about 36¢.
$2,343 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 80%
95% winner flips toward underdog
A 95% winning bettor is exiting Maja exposure at 64¢, equivalent to buying Diana at 36¢, with 7-wallet same-side flow behind the move.
- This bettor has won 19 of 20 resolved bets and is up $14,047 lifetime.
- Their sell of Maja is equivalent to buying Diana at 36¢, implying a contrarian underdog position.
- Seven wallets are moving the same way on Diana, totaling about $19,949 in one-sided flow.
$1,149 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 95%
7-wallet Diana buy cluster
High-score alert driven by 7 wallets buying Diana Shnaider together, including a profitable serial cross-market sports trader, though the price has since moved against the trade.
- 7 wallets bought the same side, putting nearly $20K behind Diana Shnaider.
- This bettor has traded 48 events with a 61% win rate and is up about $7.9K lifetime.
- The buy helped push Diana up 11 points in 3 minutes, but the market has since fallen below their 47¢ entry.
$2,250 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 61%
Seven-wallet sports push
High composite alert from seven wallets buying Shnaider together, led by a high-volume cross-market sports bettor with positive lifetime P&L, though the price has since pulled back below entry.
- Seven wallets bought the same side, putting nearly $20k behind Shnaider in the scan window.
- The flagged bettor is experienced, with 881 resolved bets and about $55k in lifetime profit.
- Shnaider jumped 11 points in under 3 minutes during the buying wave, though the market has since pulled back.
$1,500 on Diana Shnaider | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 66182467, $267,950 (88% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 66182467, $88,710 (94% win rate)
- 0x780a...84f0 — Outcome 66182467, $70,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 66182467, $68,583 (76% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Outcome 66182467, $62,120 (49% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 66182467, $40,811 (46% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — Outcome 66182467, $36,252 (44% win rate)
- 0xbda1...827f — Outcome 66182467, $32,948 (46% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 66182467, $32,393 (70% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 66182467, $31,194 (55% win rate)
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