Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel
This Polymarket-style prediction market tracks who will advance in the Wimbledon ATP match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $2,020 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including recent sharp alerts around Mensik and Samuel positioning. The market is scheduled to resolve by July 6, 2026, depending on the official match result or cancellation/delay rules.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $138,425.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 73% record and $176k lifetime profit is buying Mensik amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up $176k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 238 events with nearly $785k in tracked volume.
- The market saw a 710x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong fresh interest before the match.
$2,020 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable Samuel cluster
Three wallets, including a profitable high-volume cross-market trader, moved $8.6k in the same direction on Toby Samuel during a 33x pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets are all backing Toby Samuel with $8.6k in one-sided flow.
- The lead wallet has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up $176,877 lifetime.
- This came during a 33x volume spike, with entries as low as 19¢ before Samuel reached 38¢.
$8,649 on Toby Samuel
98% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 98% resolved win record and positive lifetime P&L, though the market has moved sharply against their 85¢ Mensik entry.
- This bettor has won 52 of 53 resolved bets and is up $20,742 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 57 events with a 98% hit rate.
- They bought Mensik at 85¢, while the market is now around 62¢, offering a much cheaper follow if their edge holds.
$1,707 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp funded cluster flipped sides
A linked 4-wallet cluster including a 97% winner with $3.8M profit bought Toby Samuel before the market moved sharply from the 30s to 77%.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M backed this side with a $10,000 buy.
- Four wallets funded by the same source all bought Toby Samuel, totaling $14,783 in one direction.
- Their average entry was about 38¢ and the market has already moved to 77¢, showing the trade was early and right so far.
$8,481 on Toby Samuel
Sharp cluster hit by reversal
Proven 79% winner and linked-wallet cluster bought Mensik, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry from 69¢ to 23¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $21.6K lifetime.
- Four linked wallets share a funder and have been active around this same side.
- The entry was 69¢, but Mensik is now 23¢ after a major move against the position.
$2,084 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 80%
97% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 97% win rate and $3.7M profit bought Mensik at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They bought $9.8K of Mensik at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 267 events with nearly $9M deployed.
$10,000 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 96%
97% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 97% win rate and $3.7M profit bought Mensik at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They bought $9.8K of Mensik at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 267 events with nearly $9M deployed.
$44,735 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 73% record and $176k lifetime profit is buying Mensik amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up $176k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 238 events with nearly $785k in tracked volume.
- The market saw a 710x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong fresh interest before the match.
$2,520 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%
81% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 81% win-rate sports bettor with massive cross-market history bought Toby Samuel, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.25M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 422 events with $5.77M in flagged cross-market volume.
- They bought Toby Samuel at 49¢; the market is now 36¢, meaning followers can enter below the sharp’s price.
$5,510 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 81%
78% serial sports sharp
Proven profitable wallet with a 78% record and extensive cross-market history bought Mensik at 45%, well before the market moved to 64%.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $477K lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader across 168 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 45¢ beat the current 64¢ market price, showing the trade was early and well-timed.
$1,350 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 12293242, $26,303 (96% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 12293242, $21,670 (81% win rate)
- 0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 12293242, $11,185 (76% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 12293242, $5,817 (73% win rate)
- 0x9ec2...bd08 — Outcome 12293242, $4,315 (42% win rate)
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 12293242, $3,500 (39% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 12293242, $3,333 (59% win rate)
- 0xe1c0...ecf1 — Outcome 12293242, $2,857 (76% win rate)
- 0xb826...635a — Outcome 12293242, $2,683 (92% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 12293242, $2,500 (49% win rate)
Related Theses
Germany wins by six plus
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins comfortably
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil wins by four plus
Covers 3 related markets
