Part of: Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta
Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Facundo Acosta in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Facundo Acosta. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,484.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader buys Acosta
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% record bought Acosta during a 16.1x market-volume spike, providing a notable signal despite the already-favored odds.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,979 resolved bets and is up $3.28M lifetime.
- They bought Acosta at 83¢ as market volume surged to 16.1 times its historical average.
$1,844 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 92%
Prolific trader backs sharp repricing
A highly active, highly profitable trader bought Facundo as the market showed a sharp upward repricing, though the trade is modest relative to market liquidity and the trader’s win rate does not clearly exceed their average winning odds.
- This trader has made over $9.2M across nearly 145,000 resolved bets, with a 71% win rate.
- They bought Facundo at 81¢ as the outcome moved roughly 40 percentage points beyond its historical range.
- The $1,315 position is modest against the market’s $121,782 liquidity, and their record alone does not establish a clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,315 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 70%
Proven sharp adding to Acosta
A proven bettor with 83% wins and a 29-point edge at average odds added to Facundo Acosta as the market showed a sharp price move.
- This bettor has won 118 of 143 trades, with a 29-point edge over their average entry odds.
- They added about $1,110 to Facundo Acosta, whose price moved sharply beyond its historical range.
- The wallet already holds a larger Acosta position, showing continued commitment to the same outcome.
$1,110 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 79%
Three high-volume bettors back Tirante
Three high-volume bettors put $17.3K on Tirante within seconds, creating a notable same-direction cluster despite no clear win-rate edge.
- Three wallets bought Tirante within seconds, committing $17,341 in total.
- Two bettors have traded thousands of markets and report multi-million-dollar lifetime profits, though their win rates do not clearly exceed their typical entry odds.
- They entered at 65¢ while the market is now 62¢, so the price has moved against the bet.
$7,215 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
Top Holders
- 0xe787...5034 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $30,463 (73% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $6,747 (95% win rate)
- 0x7750...a3f3 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $4,751 (28% win rate)
- 0x71a4...4a39 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,594
- 0xeb57...f8e5 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,292
- 0x5b25...f1d9 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,057
- 0x01fa...cea7 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $979 (44% win rate)
- 0xcbef...0c11 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $526 (82% win rate)
- 0xfea6...b795 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $430 (68% win rate)
- 0x5b57...de6b — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $331 (70% win rate)
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