Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

33 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,116.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market oil trader

Profitable wallet with $137k lifetime P&L is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 12 related markets, with current market momentum supporting the Yes buy.

  • This wallet is up $137k lifetime and has traded $213k across 12 related oil markets.
  • They are buying into a strong move, with Yes up 12.5 points over the past day.
  • This looks like a thesis shift after closing a prior No position on this same market.

$1,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable oil-market flipper

A profitable high-volume oil-market trader appears to be flipping from a large prior No position into Yes while also positioning across 12 related markets.

  • This trader is up $136.9K lifetime and has put $213K across 12 related oil markets.
  • They previously had a much larger No position here, but has now flipped to buying Yes at 77¢.
  • The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 20.5 points in the past day.

$2,340 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Cross-market oil bettor

Positive-P&L wallet is building a broad cross-market oil thesis across 12 related WTI markets, with current odds already moving strongly toward this side.

  • This wallet is up $126,886 lifetime and has traded $208k across 12 related oil markets.
  • They are buying Yes at 76¢ after previously closing a large No position, suggesting a directional flip.
  • The market has momentum in the same direction, with Yes up 15 points in the last day.

$1,213 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable cross-market oil trader

Profitable serial cross-market wallet is taking the No side as part of a broader 4-market WTI thesis, though the individual trade size is modest.

  • This bettor is up $162k lifetime across 154 resolved trades.
  • They have a recurring cross-market style, with 38 events and $817k traded in similar setups.
  • This is part of a broader 4-market WTI position totaling $11.6k.

$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable WTI ladder bettor

Profitable wallet is building a large 14-market WTI crude thesis, with $585k positioned across the event and a fresh $5.3k Yes buy at 85¢.

  • This wallet is up $189k lifetime and has placed $585k across 14 related WTI markets.
  • The trade adds to a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Yes is already up 12 points today, so this buy is following strong market momentum.

$5,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

$209K oil ladder bettor

A profitable wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis with $209k across 12 related oil markets, though this specific add is modest and slightly above current odds.

  • This bettor has put $209k across 12 related oil markets, showing a broad WTI thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • The wallet is up $117k lifetime on $3.1M traded, despite only winning about half its resolved bets.
  • They previously closed a large No position here and are now buying Yes, suggesting a directional flip.

$2,304 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

$577k cross-market oil bettor

A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 14 related markets totaling about $577k, with this leg effectively buying No on $95 at 41¢.

  • This wallet has put about $577k across 14 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis.
  • The bettor is profitable overall, up $188k across nearly $10M of resolved trading volume.
  • This trade effectively buys No at 41¢, fading the market’s prior 59¢ Yes pricing.

$1,613 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a cross-market oil thesis, and this No position has already moved sharply in its favor from 34¢ to 42¢.

  • This bettor has a long record: 382 resolved trades, 68% wins, and $17K lifetime profit.
  • They have put $36.6K across related oil markets, suggesting a broader WTI thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 34¢ has already moved to 42¢, showing the market is following their direction.

$1,415 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Profitable cross-market trader is buying No on a WTI $95 touch after building related oil positions, with the trade already moving from 35¢ to 41¢.

  • This bettor is up $162k lifetime across 154 resolved trades.
  • They have put $36.6k into related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
  • Entry at 35¢ has already moved to 41¢, but the copy ceiling leaves room up to 45¢.

$10,498 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable oil ladder trader

Profitable high-volume trader is positioning across 12 related WTI markets and has flipped from a prior No stance into buying Yes after strong price momentum.

  • This bettor is up about $98k lifetime and has placed $187k across 12 related oil markets.
  • They closed a large No position here and flipped to buying Yes at 75¢, now trading around 80¢.
  • The market has moved sharply in their direction, with Yes up 32.5 percentage points in the past day.

$1,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7447...a16d Outcome 56674142, $100,154 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 56674142, $20,430 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x8088...d2ea Outcome 56674142, $14,580
  4. 0xbfb3...4b43 Outcome 56674142, $9,987 (68% win rate)
  5. 0xb352...4fa1 Outcome 56674142, $6,530 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xb416...c7a1 Outcome 56674142, $6,200 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xe2b1...7d2a Outcome 56674142, $5,466 (46% win rate)
  8. 0x7253...89ed Outcome 56674142, $4,204
  9. 0x7dd0...2b4b Outcome 56674142, $3,367 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xf27d...e6d3 Outcome 56674142, $2,615 (24% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

WTI rallies but stays below $110

Covers 8 related markets

Natural gas whipsaws in May

Covers 4 related markets

WTI rallies to $110

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

WTI trades between $80 and $100

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 23 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$108,116 tracked33 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

40d ago

$1,140 on Yes at 77¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

40d ago

$2,340 on Yes at 77¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

40d ago

$1,213 on Yes at 76¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$1,500 on No at 22¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$5,300 on Yes at 85¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$2,304 on Yes at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$1,613 on No at 41¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$1,415 on No at 34¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$10,498 on No at 35¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$1,220 on Yes at 75¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$1,184 on Yes at 74¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

41d ago

$19,419 on No at 29¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

42d ago

$1,543 on Yes at 66¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

42d ago

$1,046 on No at 35¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

42d ago

$4,312 on Yes at 67¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

42d ago

$1,354 on No at 32¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

42d ago

$14,831 on Yes at 76¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

43d ago

$1,459 on No at 61¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

43d ago

$1,477 on No at 59¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$1,171 on Yes at 47¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$1,637 on No at 57¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$1,440 on No at 47¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$10,320 on Yes at 55¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$1,007 on Yes at 51¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

44d ago

$1,267 on Yes at 43¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

45d ago

$1,252 on Yes at 63¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

47d ago

$1,021 on No at 38¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

47d ago

$1,325 on No at 31¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

48d ago

$2,640 on Yes at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

48d ago

$2,217 on Yes at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

48d ago

$2,640 on Yes at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

49d ago

$2,550 on Yes at 84¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

50d ago

$2,460 on Yes at 82¢

Related Theses