Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures contract will print a 1-minute candle high of at least $115 at any point in May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with final settlement scheduled for June 1, 2026, using Pyth-published prices exactly as reported. PolySpotter is tracking $1,020 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent whale and breakout-buying alerts tied to an oil upside thesis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

25 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,254.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Cross-market crude-oil bettor with meaningful lifetime profit is adding an $8.5k No position after trading 12 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad directional thesis despite a mediocre win rate.

  • This wallet is up $116k lifetime and has traded 12 related WTI markets for a $359k cross-market thesis.
  • They bought $8.5k of No at 61¢, betting WTI will not reach the $115 high in May.
  • The market has active liquidity and Yes is up 5.5% today, so this is a sizable contrarian fade of recent momentum.

$8,524 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

A profitable cross-market oil bettor is rebuilding a Yes position at the same 33¢ level after taking prior exposure off, with $73k deployed across nine related markets.

  • This bettor is up $59k lifetime and has deployed $73k across 9 related oil markets.
  • They previously put $23k into this same Yes outcome at 33¢ and are now buying again at the same price.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like thesis-driven positioning rather than a random thin-market punt.

$1,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

90% winner oil thesis

Sharp 90% winner with strong positive P&L is adding a cross-market oil thesis by buying No at 68¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $18.8K lifetime.
  • They are positioning across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 68¢ means they are betting WTI does not touch $115 in May despite recent short-term upward movement.

$1,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Profitable wallet is building a coordinated oil-price thesis across 3 related WTI markets, buying No here after a sharp move lower in Yes odds.

  • This bettor has won 73% of resolved trades and is up about $247K lifetime.
  • They have put about $14.9K across 3 related WTI markets, showing a broader bearish oil-spike thesis.
  • Yes odds fell 21.5 points in the last day, matching this wallet’s No-side positioning.

$3,515 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable oil trader buying YES

A profitable cross-market oil trader is effectively buying Yes after a large market-wide volume spike, despite the market’s sharp 1-day drop.

  • This wallet is up $265K lifetime and has traded $252K across 11 related oil markets.
  • Market volume spiked 149x versus its historical average, suggesting fresh attention on this outcome.
  • Selling No at 67¢ is effectively buying Yes at 33¢ after Yes fell 26.5% in a day.

$3,350 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable 7-market oil thesis

A profitable wallet is building a broader cross-market No thesis across seven related WTI oil spike markets, and this leg has already moved in its favor.

  • This wallet is up $65k lifetime while betting across seven related oil markets.
  • It has put $37k into the same event, suggesting a broader view that extreme WTI highs will not hit.
  • Bought No at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 76¢ after Yes fell 36% today.

$2,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%

Cross-market oil bear

Worth surfacing as a modest cross-market thesis: the wallet has built a $32K position across 7 related WTI markets and is profitable overall, though this individual trade is not large for the market.

  • This bettor has built a $32K position across 7 related WTI oil markets.
  • The wallet is up $65K lifetime despite only winning half of resolved bets.
  • The market is moving their way, with Yes down 30.5% today.

$2,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%

Profitable WTI cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad WTI upside thesis across 11 related markets, though this specific entry is modest and only supported by cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor is up $268K lifetime and has deployed $293K across 11 related WTI markets.
  • The trade backs a rebound after this outcome fell 23.5% in the last day.
  • Entry at 43¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current 41¢ market price.

$1,782 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Fresh oil whale buying Yes

A brand-new wallet put over $10k into Yes across related WTI oil markets and aggressively added as this contract repriced from 7¢ to 61¢.

  • A 1-hour-old wallet put $10.4k on Yes and has already been flagged 5 times for large early bets.
  • The bettor bought this outcome from 7¢ up to 61¢, suggesting they kept adding even after a major repricing.
  • They are positioning across 3 related WTI markets, pointing to a broader oil-spike thesis rather than a one-off bet.

$10,359 on Yes

Profitable oil cross-market bettor

A profitable, high-volume wallet is expressing a broader WTI thesis across 5 related markets, including buying No on the $115 strike after a sharp Yes rally.

  • This wallet is up about $460k lifetime despite a small resolved sample.
  • They have built a $98k position across 5 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
  • Buying No at 39¢ fades a market where Yes has jumped 8.5% in the past day.

$1,149 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0x72a0...c059 No, $57,892 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xe734...4f0c No, $40,831 (41% win rate)
  3. 0x1664...a0ce Yes, $28,367
  4. 0x7d0b...840a Yes, $23,604
  5. 0xafc0...5087 Yes, $21,473 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x5f45...a77a Yes, $17,461 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $14,443 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x25db...28de Yes, $12,284 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xd026...ec2f Yes, $9,688 (60% win rate)
  10. 0xd48a...6e90 No, $6,092 (67% win rate)

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WTI tops $110, stays capped

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

18dWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$102,254 tracked25 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil
Yes
36¢
No
65¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “No
82¢
69¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

15h ago

$8,524 on No at 61¢

61¢65¢4¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

1d ago

$1,020 on Yes at 33¢

33¢36¢3¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

1d ago

$1,700 on No at 68¢

68¢65¢3¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

6d ago

$3,515 on No at 69¢

69¢65¢4¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

6d ago

$3,350 on Yes at 33¢

33¢36¢3¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

6d ago

$2,160 on No at 71¢

71¢65¢6¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

6d ago

$2,160 on No at 71¢

71¢65¢6¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

7d ago

$1,782 on Yes at 43¢

43¢36¢7¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

7d ago

$10,359 on Yes at 61¢

61¢36¢25¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$1,149 on No at 39¢

39¢65¢26¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$8,365 on Yes at 88¢

88¢36¢52¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$18,554 on Yes at 85¢

85¢36¢49¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$1,080 on Yes at 63¢

63¢36¢27¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$1,614 on Yes at 53¢

53¢36¢17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$2,855 on Yes at 53¢

53¢36¢17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$1,241 on Yes at 52¢

52¢36¢16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$2,281 on Yes at 52¢

52¢36¢16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$1,040 on Yes at 52¢

52¢36¢16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

8d ago

$2,600 on Yes at 52¢

52¢36¢16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

9d ago

$1,560 on Yes at 52¢

52¢36¢16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

9d ago

$1,040 on Yes at 52¢

52¢36¢16¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

9d ago

$8,361 on No at 47¢

47¢65¢18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

9d ago

$3,284 on No at 45¢

45¢65¢20¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

9d ago

$6,380 on Yes at 58¢

58¢36¢22¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

10d ago

$6,280 on Yes at 59¢

59¢36¢23¢

Related Theses