Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $248,811.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet with a 73% resolved win rate and $247k lifetime profit is expressing a cross-market bullish oil-volatility thesis across four related WTI markets.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $247k lifetime.
- They have placed $110k across 4 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- Selling No at 83¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 17¢, a long-shot bet on WTI touching $115 in May.
$1,038 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable oil bettor scaling thesis
Profitable wallet with a strong resolved-bet history is building a cross-market oil thesis, effectively buying Yes at 15¢ on WTI reaching $115 in May.
- This bettor is up $247k lifetime across 86 resolved bets.
- They have positioned across 4 related oil markets with $111k in total exposure.
- Selling No at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 15¢, a low-cost bet on a major WTI spike.
$1,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet with a 73% resolved-bet win record is expressing a $110K cross-market oil thesis by buying the longshot Yes side.
- This bettor has won 73% of 86 resolved bets and is up about $247K lifetime.
- They have traded 4 related oil markets for roughly $110K, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No at 84¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 16¢, a longshot position with about 6x payout if WTI hits $115.
$1,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet with a 73% resolved win rate is building a large cross-market oil thesis, effectively buying Yes at 18¢ despite recent odds weakness.
- This bettor has won 73% of 86 resolved markets and is up $247k lifetime.
- They have placed $111k across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader conviction trade.
- Selling No at 82¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 18¢, a contrarian entry after odds fell 16% this week.
$2,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet with a 73% record and +$247k lifetime P&L is building a cross-market oil thesis, effectively buying Yes at 18¢ despite recent weakness.
- This bettor has won 73% of 86 resolved trades and is up $247k lifetime.
- They have put $106k across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No at 82¢ is the same as buying Yes at 18¢, a contrarian entry after the Yes price fell 7% today.
$1,025 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Moderate-conviction cross-market oil thesis from a profitable wallet with $128k spread across 12 related markets.
- This wallet has put $128,876 across 12 related oil markets, suggesting a broad view rather than a one-off bet.
- The bettor is up $111,441 across 123 resolved trades, despite only winning about half of them.
- They bought No at 83¢, while the market is now around 80¢, so the same side is available cheaper than their entry.
$2,490 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
A profitable, high-volume wallet is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis across 12 related markets, now buying No after previously closing a large Yes position here.
- This wallet is up $111k lifetime and has traded over $3.0M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 12 related oil markets with about $193k in total exposure.
- After closing a much larger Yes position here, they are now buying No at 78¢.
$1,221 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
$192K oil ladder thesis
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad bearish oil-ladder thesis across 12 related WTI markets, including a fresh flip into No here.
- This wallet is up $108K lifetime and has traded over $3M across resolved markets.
- They have placed $192K across 12 related WTI markets, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off bet.
- They previously closed a large Yes position here and are now buying No at 76¢ with about 10 days left in May.
$1,667 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
87% cross-market sharp
A proven 87% winner with large cross-market activity is making a bullish-equivalent trade here, though it appears partly like trimming a prior No position.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $206K over 800 results.
- They have traded 7 related contracts in this event, totaling $223K in exposure.
- Selling No at 75¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 25¢, though this also trims a prior No position.
$17,618 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet with 73% historical wins and $247k P&L is building a cross-market WTI upside thesis across four related markets.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $247k lifetime.
- They have put $100k across 4 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil upside thesis.
- This trade buys the long-shot Yes side at 25¢, despite the market falling 17% today.
$2,442 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x3e0b...4ff6 — Yes, $31,354
- 0x1664...a0ce — Yes, $28,367
- 0x7d0b...840a — Yes, $23,604
- 0xafc0...5087 — Yes, $21,473 (67% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Yes, $20,114 (99% win rate)
- 0x25db...28de — Yes, $19,364 (43% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Yes, $14,443 (78% win rate)
- 0xf9b7...60a4 — Yes, $7,802 (66% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Yes, $5,884
- 0x951e...2a1c — Yes, $4,977
Related Theses
WTI rallies but stays below $110
Covers 8 related markets
Oil peaks near $115
Covers 4 related markets
